Millwall vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.8%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78.4%
|
1.42 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Millwall
Swansea
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Millwall
15 matches
Swansea
14 matches
| Millwall | Statistic | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 21 | Goals For | 20 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.22 |
| 14.56 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 59.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Swansea's more proactive style and Millwall's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Swansea. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Millwall expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Swansea in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Swansea having the stronger overall control. Swansea carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Millwall sit 11 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Millwall are currently 11 in the standings with 11 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Dykes (4 goals), T. Arconte (3 goals), C. Neghli (2 goals), with creative support from C. Neghli (2 assists), Jenson Metcalfe (2 assists), L. Dykes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 17 points from 8 games, Swansea bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Z. Vipotnik (2 goals), M. Yeo (2 goals), A. Idah (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Vipotnik (1 assists), S. Eustáquio (1 assists), Eom Ji-Sung (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Millwall won 6 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Millwall's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
Away
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Millwall
Home
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|