Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff2.17
Watford1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff
WWDLW
20 GF / 14 GA
Watford
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.86
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
6.67
Shots on Goal
4.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cardiff
7 matches
Watford
7 matches
| Cardiff | Statistic | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 20 | Goals For | 10 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 18.33 | Total Shots | 13.67 |
| 9.33 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 66% | Ball Possession | 37.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 6 times, Watford won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Cardiff's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 6, draws 4, Watford wins 5
Last matches: Cardiff
29.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Sheffield Utd
2
2
D
22.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Derby
2
2
D
17.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Wrexham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
Last matches: Watford
29.08.26
Cha
Watford
West Ham
1
1
D
22.08.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
1
1
D
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
H2H: Cardiff vs Watford
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
29.12.24
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
1
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
0
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
19.04.23
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
1
3
W
02.11.22
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
L
13.03.21
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
L
05.12.20
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
0
1
W
22.02.19
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
5
L
15.12.18
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
3
2
L
28.12.14
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
4
L
29.11.14
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
0
1
W
06.04.13
H2H
Watford
Cardiff
0
0
D
23.10.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
1
W
09.04.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
Last matches: Cardiff
29.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Sheffield Utd
2
2
D
17.08.26
Cha
Cardiff
Wrexham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
4
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Stockport County
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wigan
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
2
1
W
26.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
06.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
3
2
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
3
0
W
H2H at home: Cardiff
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
02.11.22
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
L
13.03.21
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
L
22.02.19
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
5
L
28.12.14
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
4
L
23.10.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
1
W
09.04.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
22.08.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
H2H away: Watford
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
07.10.23
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
02.11.22
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
2
W
22.02.19
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
5
W
28.12.14
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
4
W
23.10.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
2
1
L
09.04.12
H2H
Cardiff
Watford
1
1
D
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Watford
Away
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Cardiff
Home
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 2 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
L
D
D
|
|
| 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One