Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.21
Fluminense1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
Fluminense
WLDWL
44 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
8
BTTS Yes
19
7
Over 2.5
14
4.28
Shots on Goal
5.48
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
18 matches
Fluminense
27 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 44 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.28 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 11.17 | Total Shots | 15.08 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 60.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 5 times, Fluminense won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Vitoria's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-3-3 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 5, draws 7, Fluminense wins 3
Last matches: Vitoria
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense
17.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
H2H: Vitoria vs Fluminense
09.05.26
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
1
W
27.06.24
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
0
1
W
06.09.18
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
0
0
D
06.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.09.17
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
03.06.17
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
1
L
28.10.16
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
10.07.16
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
0
D
17.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
3
1
W
04.05.14
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
1
2
W
27.10.13
H2H
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
3
W
07.08.13
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
1
D
Last matches: Vitoria
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
20.09.25
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
1
W
06.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.09.17
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
10.07.16
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
0
D
17.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
3
1
W
07.08.13
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
1
D
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
20.09.25
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
1
W
26.10.24
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
1
L
06.05.18
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
2
W
10.09.17
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
10.07.16
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
0
0
D
17.09.14
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
3
1
L
07.08.13
H2H
Vitoria
Fluminense
1
1
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Vitoria
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B