Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
57.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4%
|
- |
Vitoria
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
10 matches
Corinthians
13 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 11 | Goals For | 12 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.3 | Shots On Goal | 3.46 |
| 10.9 | Total Shots | 10.23 |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.77 |
| 41.6% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Vitoria appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Corinthians. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Corinthians. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Corinthians in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control.
Vitoria sit 10 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), Ramon (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Erick (2 assists), Fabricio (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Claudinho, Dudu, Edu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Depay, Kaio Cesar, Gui Negao, Andre, Matheuzinho, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Corinthians won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Vitoria's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Vitoria
1
0
7
4
5
3
Lineups
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Fluminense
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Internacional
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Flamengo
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
Coritiba
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Remo
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
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| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
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| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
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| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
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| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
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| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
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| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
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| 10 |
Corinthians
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
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| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
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| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
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| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
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| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
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