BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Barradao
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Vitoria
Match Timeline
Corinthians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
Renato Kayzer ↔ Rene
Vitoria
🟨
45+5'
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
🔄
55'
Breno Bidon ↔ M. Pereira
Corinthians
🔄
64'
P. Milans ↔ Kaio Cesar
Corinthians
🔄
64'
Raniele ↔ Allan
Corinthians
🔄
76'
Caique Goncalves ↔ Ze Vitor
Vitoria
🔄
76'
Matheuzinho ↔ D. Tarzia
Vitoria
🔄
77'
R. Garro ↔ Z. Labyad
Corinthians
🔄
77'
Kayke ↔ J. Lingard
Corinthians
🟨
88'
Matheus Bidu
Corinthians
🟨
90'
Nathan Mendes
Vitoria
🔄
90'
Erick ↔ A. Cantalapiedra
Vitoria
🔄
90+1'
Baralhas ↔ Ronald Lopes
Vitoria

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
57.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 57.9%
Draw 5.1%
Corinthians Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1
Corinthians1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria Vitoria
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Corinthians Corinthians
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
2
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitoria Vitoria 10 matches
Corinthians Corinthians 13 matches
Vitoria Statistic Corinthians
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
11 Goals For 12
14 Goals Against 11
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
4 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
4.3 Shots On Goal 3.46
10.9 Total Shots 10.23
3.9 Corners 4.77
41.6% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Vitoria appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Corinthians. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Corinthians. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Corinthians in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control.

Vitoria Analysis

Vitoria sit 10 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), Ramon (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Erick (2 assists), Fabricio (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Claudinho, Dudu, Edu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Corinthians Analysis

Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Depay, Kaio Cesar, Gui Negao, Andre, Matheuzinho, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Corinthians won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Vitoria's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-2-3-1 / Corinthians 4-4-2
Missing players: Vitoria 14, Corinthians 9
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 2, draws 6, Corinthians wins 7
Stats
Vitoria Vitoria
Corinthians Corinthians
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 0
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
429 Total passes 357
373 Passes accurate 299
0.65 expected_goals 0.18
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vitoria
Formation
Corinthians
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo
Nathan Mendes
Nathan Mendes
Caca
Caca
Luan Candido
Luan Candido
Ramon
Ramon
Baralhas
Baralhas
Caique Goncalves
Caique Goncalves
Emmanuel Martinez
Emmanuel Martinez
Erick
Erick
Renato Kayzer
Renato Kayzer
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
Hugo Souza
Hugo Souza
P. Milans
P. Milans
Gabriel Paulista
Gabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Matheus Bidu
Matheus Bidu
Breno Bidon
Breno Bidon
Raniele
Raniele
A. Carrillo
A. Carrillo
R. Garro
R. Garro
Kayke
Kayke
Yuri Alberto
Yuri Alberto
Vitoria 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
45
Nathan Mendes
🟨 90'
D
25
Caca
D
36
Luan Candido
D
13
Ramon
D
44
Baralhas
↓ 90+1'
M
95
Caique Goncalves
↓ 76'
M
6
Emmanuel Martinez
M
33
Erick
↓ 90'
F
79
Renato Kayzer
↓ 10'
F
10
Matheuzinho
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
22
Gabriel
G
11
Osvaldo
F
17
A. Cantalapiedra
↑ 90'
F
8
Ronald Lopes
↑ 90+1'
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
88
Ze Vitor
↑ 76'
M
91
Rene
↑ 10'
F
18
Kauan
D
31
R. Lopez
F
12
D. Tarzia
↑ 76'
D
62
Pablo
M
26
Edenilson
M
Corinthians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Hugo Souza
G
20
P. Milans
↓ 64'
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
21
Matheus Bidu
🟨 88'
D
7
Breno Bidon
↓ 55'
M
14
Raniele
↓ 64'
M
19
A. Carrillo
M
8
R. Garro
↓ 77' 🟨 45+5'
M
31
Kayke
↓ 77'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Substitutes
51
Kaue
G
52
Z. Labyad
↑ 77'
F
5
Andre Ramalho
D
26
F. Angileri
D
77
J. Lingard
↑ 77'
M
23
M. Pereira
↑ 55'
M
37
Kaio Cesar
↑ 64'
F
11
Vitinho
F
29
Allan
↑ 64'
M
18
Pedro Raul
F
61
Dieguinho
M
55
I. Machado
D
Last matches: Vitoria
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
H2H: Vitoria vs Corinthians
18.04.26
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
L
01.06.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
09.11.24
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
1
2
L
04.07.24
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
3
2
L
21.10.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
2
2
D
10.06.18
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
10.05.18
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
3
1
L
25.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
19.08.17
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
1
W
21.05.17
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
L
22.08.16
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
2
1
L
22.05.16
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
3
2
W
22.10.14
H2H
Corinthians
Vitoria
2
1
L
20.07.14
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
Last matches: Vitoria
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
18.04.26
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
L
09.11.24
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
1
2
L
21.10.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
2
2
D
25.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
L
22.05.16
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
3
2
W
20.07.14
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
H2H away: Corinthians
18.04.26
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
1
2
W
21.10.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
2
2
D
25.04.18
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
1
W
22.05.16
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
3
2
L
20.07.14
H2H
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Vitoria 14 missing
-
Claudinho
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Dudu
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
Edu
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Fintelman
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
Marinho
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Ramos
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Jamerson
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
H. Pedro
Missing Fixture Hand Injury
OUT
-
Riccieli
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Camutanga
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
Matheusinho
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Neris
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Erick
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Fabricio
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Corinthians 9 missing
-
M. Depay
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Kaio Cesar
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Gui Negao
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Joao Pedro
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Charles Rigon
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Andre
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
F. Angileri
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Matheuzinho
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
Hugo Souza
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT