Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Villarreal
48 matches
Atletico Madrid
59 matches
| Villarreal | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 32 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 18 | Losses | 17 |
| 79 | Goals For | 111 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 74 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 47 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.65 | Shots On Goal | 5.19 |
| 13.19 | Total Shots | 13.44 |
| 4.46 | Corners | 5.93 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Madrid. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Atletico Madrid look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Villarreal come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 69 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 67:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Mikautadze (12 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (10 goals), with creative support from G. Mikautadze (6 assists), N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 69 points from 37 games, Atletico Madrid bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 21 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 61:39, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Sorloth (13 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), Marcos Llorente (5 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Villarreal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Villarreal
Home
|
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|