Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Villarreal
48 matches
Atletico Madrid
59 matches
| Villarreal | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 32 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 18 | Losses | 17 |
| 79 | Goals For | 111 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 74 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 47 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.65 | Shots On Goal | 5.19 |
| 13.19 | Total Shots | 13.44 |
| 4.46 | Corners | 5.93 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Madrid. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Atletico Madrid look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Villarreal come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 69 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 67:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Mikautadze (12 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (10 goals), with creative support from G. Mikautadze (6 assists), N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 69 points from 37 games, Atletico Madrid bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 21 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 61:39, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Sorloth (13 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), Marcos Llorente (5 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Villarreal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Villarreal
8
4
1
5
5
0
Lineups
Villarreal
Galatasaray
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
Benfica
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Sevilla
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Oviedo
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Girona
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Sevilla
Villarreal
Levante
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Elche
Villarreal
Valencia
Villarreal
Espanyol
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Ajax
Villarreal
Alaves
Villarreal
Barcelona
Villarreal
FC Copenhagen
Villarreal
Getafe
Villarreal
Mallorca
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Manchester City
Villarreal
Real Betis
Villarreal
Juventus
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid
Levante
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Villarreal
Home
|
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|