BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 32.9%
Draw 12%
Juventude Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina0.94
Juventude1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
26 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.54
13
BTTS Yes
5
15
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 24 matches
Juventude Juventude 24 matches
Londrina Statistic Juventude
5 Wins 13
6 Draws 6
13 Losses 5
29 Goals For 26
36 Goals Against 13
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.54
13 BTTS Yes 5
17 Over 1.5 11
15 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 7
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.38
13 Total Shots 12.21
5.25 Corners 4.42
45.9% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Juventude's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Londrina have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventude. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Juventude in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Juventude carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 42 points while Londrina sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Londrina Analysis

With 21 points from 24 games and a place of 18, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 29:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 42 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 24:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 3 times, Juventude won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Londrina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Juventude 3-4-3
H2H summary: Londrina wins 3, draws 4, Juventude wins 4
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Londrina
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
Last matches: Juventude
25.08.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
2
1
W
19.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
H2H: Londrina vs Juventude
26.04.26
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
2
2
D
29.06.23
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
2
L
27.09.18
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
0
0
D
08.06.18
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
14.10.17
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
0
2
W
24.06.17
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
2
2
D
16.08.15
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
1
3
W
31.05.15
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
0
D
08.09.13
H2H
Juventude
Londrina
3
1
L
01.09.13
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
0
W
Last matches: Londrina
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
2
2
D
H2H at home: Londrina
29.06.23
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
2
L
08.06.18
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
24.06.17
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
2
2
D
31.05.15
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
0
D
01.09.13
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
0
W
Last matches: Juventude
19.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
H2H away: Juventude
29.06.23
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
2
W
08.06.18
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
W
24.06.17
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
2
2
D
31.05.15
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
0
0
D
01.09.13
H2H
Londrina
Juventude
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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