PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - CLAUSURA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
2 de Mayo Win 60.2%
Draw 8.2%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2 de Mayo1.18
Sportivo Luqueno1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WWDLW
29 GF / 41 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
32 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
15
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
17
2.81
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 32 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 29 matches
2 de Mayo Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
10 Wins 8
12 Draws 5
10 Losses 16
29 Goals For 32
41 Goals Against 46
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
15 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 10
2.81 Shots On Goal 3.59
10.03 Total Shots 10
3.22 Corners 3.07
45.8% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by 2 de Mayo's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. 2 de Mayo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to Sportivo Luqueno in 10 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Luqueno. 2 de Mayo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

2 de Mayo Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 5 games, 2 de Mayo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:3, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Fernando Cáceres (2 goals), Oscar Romero (1 goals), Camilo Saiz (1 goals), with creative support from Oscar Romero (1 assists), Cesar Castro (1 assists), Ángel Aguilera (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 10, Sportivo Luqueno still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Aldo Maiz (1 goals), Marcelo Ojeda (1 goals), Lucas Morales (1 goals), with creative support from Aldo Maiz (1 assists), Marcelo Ojeda (1 assists), Jonathan Ramos (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo won 5 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from 2 de Mayo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: 2 de Mayo 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: 2 de Mayo wins 5, draws 3, Sportivo Luqueno wins 4
Last matches: 2 de Mayo
25.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
0
0
D
14.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
08.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
0
W
01.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
28.07.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.07.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
1
0
W
22.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
0
D
09.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
2
0
W
01.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
26.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
2
2
D
18.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
5
L
10.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
28.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
4
L
25.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
1
1
D
22.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
2
L
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
28.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
2
1
W
24.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
L
16.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
09.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
29.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
4
L
26.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
1
W
23.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
1
2
L
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
22.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
13.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
H2H: 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno
22.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
2
W
23.01.26
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
03.10.25
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
3
W
25.07.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
02.05.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
21.02.25
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
25.11.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
12.09.24
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
3
W
08.04.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
20.01.24
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
0
W
10.06.22
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
0
L
Last matches: 2 de Mayo
25.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.08.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
0
W
28.07.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.07.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
1
0
W
22.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Rubio NU
2
0
W
26.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Club Guarani
2
2
D
10.04.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
31.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
0
2
L
28.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
0
W
20.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
2
2
D
07.02.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
05.02.26
CON
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Olimpia
1
1
D
23.01.26
Div
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
H2H at home: 2 de Mayo
23.01.26
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
25.07.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
02.05.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
25.11.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
08.04.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
0
W
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
24.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
L
09.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
26.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
1
W
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
23.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
H2H away: Sportivo Luqueno
23.01.26
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
W
25.07.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
L
02.05.25
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
25.11.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
W
08.04.24
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
3
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 11:5 6 15
W W W L W
2 6 4 2 0 7:3 4 14
D W W D W
3 7 3 3 1 11:5 6 12
W W D D L
4 6 3 2 1 11:5 6 11
D D L W W
5 6 3 0 3 9:6 3 9
W W L W L
6 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
W L L W L
7 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
W L W D D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
D L D W W
9 6 2 1 3 10:13 -3 7
L L W W L
10 6 2 0 4 7:7 0 6
L W L W L
11 7 1 2 4 6:14 -8 5
L D W L L
12 7 0 1 6 1:12 -11 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)