01.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Referee: B. Romero
2 de Mayo
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
T. Muro · Assist: I. Maggi
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
21'
Marcos Gómez
2 de Mayo
🔄
30'
F. Silvero ↔ F. M. Caceres Aguero
2 de Mayo
🔄
46'
M. Gonzalez ↔ M. Moya
2 de Mayo
🔄
46'
M. Ojeda ↔ S. Ocampos
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
46'
S. Maldonado ↔ F. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
56'
O. Romero ↔ T. Cervera
2 de Mayo
🔄
56'
A. Gomez ↔ T. G. Portillo Avalos
2 de Mayo
59'
F. M. Caceres Aguero · Assist: M. Moya
2 de Mayo
🔄
66'
T. Muro ↔ S. Beltran
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
67'
Fernando Benítez
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
69'
Jonathan Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
73'
O. Ruiz ↔ A. Balbuena
Sportivo Luqueno
81'
M. Moya
2 de Mayo
🟨
82'
Matías Moya
2 de Mayo
🔄
82'
G. Bogado ↔ M. Perez
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
84'
Matías Moya
2 de Mayo
🟥
84'
Matías Moya
2 de Mayo
🔄
85'
↔ C. Saiz
2 de Mayo
90'
L. Morales
Sportivo Luqueno

2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
2.25
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.20
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.7%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
2 de Mayo Win 60.2%
Draw 8.2%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2 de Mayo1.18
Sportivo Luqueno1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WWDLW
30 GF / 41 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
32 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
15
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
17
2.76
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 33 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 29 matches
2 de Mayo Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
11 Wins 8
12 Draws 5
10 Losses 16
30 Goals For 32
41 Goals Against 46
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
15 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 10
2.76 Shots On Goal 3.72
9.97 Total Shots 10.59
3.27 Corners 3.24
46% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by 2 de Mayo's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. 2 de Mayo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to Sportivo Luqueno in 10 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Luqueno. 2 de Mayo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

2 de Mayo Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 5 games, 2 de Mayo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:3, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Fernando Cáceres (2 goals), Oscar Romero (1 goals), Camilo Saiz (1 goals), with creative support from Oscar Romero (1 assists), Cesar Castro (1 assists), Ángel Aguilera (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 10, Sportivo Luqueno still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Aldo Maiz (1 goals), Marcelo Ojeda (1 goals), Lucas Morales (1 goals), with creative support from Aldo Maiz (1 assists), Marcelo Ojeda (1 assists), Jonathan Ramos (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo won 5 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from 2 de Mayo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: 2 de Mayo 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: 2 de Mayo wins 5, draws 3, Sportivo Luqueno wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)