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12.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Referee: A. Colman
2 de Mayo
Match Timeline
Sportivo Ameliano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Alberto Espinola
2 de Mayo
VAR
34'
Tobias Cervera
2 de Mayo
🟨
40'
Luis Delgadillo
2 de Mayo
⚽
56'
A. Gomez · Assist: A. Farina
2 de Mayo
🔄
58'
L. Delgadillo ↔ O. Romero
2 de Mayo
🔄
64'
M. Moya ↔ P. Delvalle
2 de Mayo
🔄
66'
V. Larralde ↔ E. Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
66'
E. Paez ↔ L. Ortiz
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
73'
R. Peralta ↔ F. Franco
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
73'
W. Rodriguez ↔ R. Torales
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
74'
A. Espinola ↔ A. Villalba
2 de Mayo
🔄
74'
A. Gomez ↔ T. G. Portillo Avalos
2 de Mayo
🔄
74'
A. Farina ↔ F. M. Caceres Aguero
2 de Mayo
🟨
90+4'
Marcos Gómez
2 de Mayo
🟨
90+5'
Fabián Franco
Sportivo Ameliano
🟥
90+7'
A. Paredes
Sportivo Ameliano

2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
2 de Mayo Win 48.4%
Draw 19.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2 de Mayo0.99
Sportivo Ameliano1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
W D L L W
6 GF / 8 GA
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
L D D W W
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
18
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
13
2.82
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 39 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 35 matches
2 de Mayo Statistic Sportivo Ameliano
13 Wins 12
14 Draws 15
12 Losses 8
38 Goals For 42
51 Goals Against 36
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
18 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 6
2.82 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.31 Total Shots 11.86
3.44 Corners 4.09
46.8% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between 2 de Mayo's more proactive style and Sportivo Ameliano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 2 de Mayo expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Sportivo Ameliano in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Ameliano having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Ameliano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

2 de Mayo Analysis

Placed 2 with 25 points from 13 outings, 2 de Mayo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ó. Romero (3 goals), F. Cáceres (2 goals), A. Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Ó. Romero (1 assists), F. Cáceres (1 assists), A. Gómez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano sit 7 with 18 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Ocampos (4 goals), E. Moreira (3 goals), R. Torales (2 goals), with creative support from E. Torales (2 assists), C. Ocampos (1 assists), J. González (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, 2 de Mayo won 4 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from 2 de Mayo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: 2 de Mayo 5-4-1 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: 2 de Mayo wins 4, draws 4, Sportivo Ameliano wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 3 3 28:12 16 33
W W D D W
2 16 9 3 4 26:14 12 30
W W D W W
3 16 9 3 4 24:17 7 30
W L D W L
4 16 8 5 3 23:9 14 29
L W W D D
5 16 8 5 3 18:17 1 29
D L W W D
6 16 6 7 3 18:14 4 25
W L D D W
7 16 7 3 6 23:17 6 24
W D W L L
8 16 4 7 5 19:21 -2 19
L D L L D
9 16 5 1 10 17:30 -13 16
L W L L L
10 16 3 4 9 15:27 -12 13
L L D W D
11 16 3 3 10 16:28 -12 12
D W L L D
12 16 0 4 12 8:29 -21 4
L L D D D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)