Login Register
12.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
Referee: Cristian Garay

Universidad de Chile vs Nublense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 72.2%
Draw 5.2%
Nublense Win 22.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.42
Nublense1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
50 GF / 32 GA
Nublense Nublense
WLDWL
39 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
15
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
13
5.22
Shots on Goal
3.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 33 matches
Nublense Nublense 31 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Nublense
17 Wins 13
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 9
50 Goals For 39
32 Goals Against 39
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
15 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 6
5.22 Shots On Goal 3.87
15.17 Total Shots 12.39
6.22 Corners 4.43
57.2% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Universidad de Chile's more proactive style and Nublense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nublense having the stronger overall control. Nublense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nublense.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 42 points after 23 matches. With 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Vargas (7 goals), A. Arce (4 goals), J. Lucero (3 goals), with creative support from Lucas Assadi (4 assists), M. Guerrero (3 assists), M. Morales (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Nublense Analysis

With 32 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Nublense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 28:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Valencia (3 goals), M. Plaza (2 goals), L. Molina (2 goals), with creative support from M. Plaza (4 assists), L. Molina (1 assists), M. Rivera (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 4 times, Nublense won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 4-2-3-1 / Nublense 3-4-3
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 4, draws 4, Nublense wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L L W
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W W D L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D