ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Jocay
Referee: G. Araujo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.3%
1.28
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 40.4%
Draw 38.9%
Tecnico Universitario Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.94
Tecnico Universitario0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
18 GF / 29 GA
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WLDWL
26 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
9
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
3.11
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 28 matches
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 28 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Tecnico Universitario
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 2
15 Losses 17
18 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 39
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
9 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 5
13 Failed To Score 12
3.11 Shots On Goal 3.93
10.7 Total Shots 12.41
3.37 Corners 4.89
39.4% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tecnico Universitario. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Delfin SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tecnico Universitario in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 24 points from 26 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 17:28, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (2 assists), Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 26 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 16 defeats with a 23:37 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Julian Anaya (4 goals), Mateo Castano (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 6 times, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Delfin SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-2-3-1 / Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 6, draws 5, Tecnico Universitario wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 2 3 66:28 38 68
D W W W W
2 27 14 5 8 31:26 5 47
W W L W W
3 27 13 6 8 35:27 8 45
W L D W W
4 27 12 8 7 47:25 22 44
D W D L W
5 27 12 5 10 27:22 5 41
L W W L W
6 27 10 9 8 28:22 6 39
L W D L D
7 27 10 7 10 29:30 -1 37
L W D W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 27 9 9 9 27:30 -3 36
W W D D L
10 27 9 8 10 29:30 -1 35
L L W L D
11 27 9 8 10 23:32 -9 32
W L W D L
12 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
13 27 8 6 13 31:41 -10 30
L L W D L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 27 5 5 17 14:37 -23 20
W L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs