Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.5%
|
3.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
2.09 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
23 matches
Cruzeiro
34 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 15 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 24 | Goals For | 47 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 17.26 | Total Shots | 14.09 |
| 5.22 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cruzeiro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cruzeiro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 36 points while Vasco DA Gama sit 19 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro.
With 22 points from 22 games and a place of 19, Vasco DA Gama still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 23:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andrés Gómez (4 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Puma Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), David (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 36 points from 23 games, Cruzeiro bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 32:32, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kaio Jorge (6 goals), Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Fagner (4 assists), Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, Cruzeiro won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|