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TURKEY › 1. LIG
09.10.2026 17:00
Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu
Referee: Yigit Arslan
Vanspor FK
Match Timeline
Bandırmaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Kadir Seven
Vanspor FK
🔄
46'
I. Alhaft ↔ F. Ozhan
Vanspor FK
⚽
46'
K. Donertas
Bandırmaspor
🟨
52'
Emirhan Ayhan
Bandırmaspor
🟨
54'
Alvaro de Oliveira
Vanspor FK
⚽
55'
K. Donertas
Bandırmaspor
🔄
58'
K. Seven ↔ F. C. Genc
Vanspor FK
🔄
58'
Alvaro de Oliveira ↔ J. Bardhi
Vanspor FK
🔄
58'
M. Ozcan ↔ R. Zivkovic
Vanspor FK
🔄
73'
E. Cinemre ↔ D. Lico
Bandırmaspor
🔄
73'
E. Ayhan ↔ A. Badji
Bandırmaspor
🔄
76'
O. Kokcu ↔ I. Sever
Vanspor FK
🔄
78'
T. Kehinde ↔ A. Ulgen
Bandırmaspor
🟨
79'
Hikmet Çiftçi
Vanspor FK
🔄
83'
H. Bilgic ↔ D. Seck
Bandırmaspor
🔄
84'
K. Donertas ↔ M. Gumuskaya
Bandırmaspor
🟨
86'
Dean Lico
Bandırmaspor

Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vanspor FK Win 25.6%
Draw 20.7%
Bandırmaspor Win 53.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vanspor FK0.85
Bandırmaspor1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
WWDLW
8 GF / 17 GA
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
3.13
Shots on Goal
5.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 8 matches
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 8 matches
Vanspor FK Statistic Bandırmaspor
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
8 Goals For 12
17 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
5 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.13 Shots On Goal 5.63
9.88 Total Shots 13.25
4.25 Corners 4.63
45.4% Ball Possession 60.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bandırmaspor's more proactive style and Vanspor FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bandırmaspor. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vanspor FK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bandırmaspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bandırmaspor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bandırmaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 10 points while Vanspor FK sit 19 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Vanspor FK Analysis

Vanspor FK sit 19 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mehmed Manis (2 goals), Jurgen Bardhi (2 goals), with creative support from Mehmed Manis (2 assists), Oğulcan Çağlayan (1 assists), Ozan Kökçü (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bandırmaspor Analysis

Bandırmaspor sit 11 with 10 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 12:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Amidou Badji (3 goals), Gianni Bruno (3 goals), Tosin Kehinde (2 goals), with creative support from Amidou Badji (2 assists), Muhammed Gümüşkaya (2 assists), Tosin Kehinde (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vanspor FK won 0 times, Bandırmaspor won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Vanspor FK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Vanspor FK 4-2-3-1 / Bandırmaspor 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Vanspor FK wins 0, draws 2, Bandırmaspor wins 3

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation