SPAIN LA LIGA
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Estadio de Mestalla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.6%
Odds 3.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.6%
3.24
BTTS Yes
86%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Valencia Win 35.7%
Draw 17.6%
Celta Vigo Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valencia1.38
Celta Vigo1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valencia Valencia
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valencia Valencia 6 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 matches
Valencia Statistic Celta Vigo
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 0
9 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 7 times, Celta Vigo won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Valencia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Valencia wins 7, draws 2, Celta Vigo wins 6
Last matches: Valencia
08.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
23.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
12.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Levante
2
3
L
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Elche
3
1
W
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
16.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
22.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Alaves
3
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
1
D
H2H: Valencia vs Celta Vigo
05.04.26
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
03.01.26
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
4
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
23.08.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
1
L
26.05.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
2
2
D
17.01.24
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
25.11.23
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
14.05.23
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
1
2
W
17.09.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
05.12.21
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
1
2
W
20.02.21
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
19.09.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
2
1
L
01.02.20
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
24.08.19
H2H
Celta Vigo
Valencia
1
0
L
Last matches: Valencia
08.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Newcastle
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
08.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
2
L
24.01.26
La
Valencia
Espanyol
3
2
W
10.01.26
La
Valencia
Elche
1
1
D
19.12.25
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
07.12.25
La
Valencia
Sevilla
1
1
D
21.11.25
La
Valencia
Levante
1
0
W
09.11.25
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
1
D
25.10.25
La
Valencia
Villarreal
0
2
L
30.09.25
La
Valencia
Oviedo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Valencia
05.04.26
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
02.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
17.01.24
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
25.11.23
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
20.02.21
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
01.02.20
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Girona
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
2
2
D
01.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Getafe
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
1
D
25.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1
3
L
12.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
20.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Cop
Celta Vigo
Albacete
2
2
D
H2H away: Celta Vigo
05.04.26
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
W
02.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
1
L
17.01.24
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
3
W
25.11.23
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
3
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
L
20.02.21
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
0
L
01.02.20
H2H
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 3.28
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 2.14
Home 3.27
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.72
Over 2.25 2.04
Over 2.5 2.34
Over 2.75 2.77
Over 3.0 3.58
Over 3.25 4.00
Under 1.25 3.90
Under 1.5 2.96
Under 1.75 2.59
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.85
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.0 1.31
Under 3.25 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.20
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.05
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.30
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.30
Home 2.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.94
Draw 1.98
Home 3.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.33
Home 2.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.24
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.66
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.34
Over 2.75 2.58
Over 3.0 3.26
Over 3.25 3.62
Over 3.5 3.98
Over 3.75 4.96
Over 4.0 6.90
Over 4.25 7.19
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 18.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 6.95
Under 0.75 6.49
Under 1.0 5.90
Under 1.25 3.58
Under 1.5 2.76
Under 1.75 2.45
Under 2.0 2.11
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.20
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.04
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.38
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.66
Over 2.25 1.96
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 2.75 2.63
Over 3.0 3.40
Over 3.25 3.80
Over 3.5 4.20
Over 4.5 9.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 2.95
Under 1.75 2.55
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.84
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 4.5 1.05

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
6 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
7 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
8 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation