Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario
30 matches
Sporting Cristal
31 matches
| Universitario | Statistic | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 41 | Goals For | 45 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.96 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 14.5 |
| 5.92 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universitario's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Cristal. Sporting Cristal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universitario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 29 points compared to Sporting Cristal in 12 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Universitario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 29 points after 17 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:15, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Alex Valera (5 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), Caín Fara (2 goals), with creative support from Edison Flores (2 assists), Jairo Concha (2 assists), Andy Polo (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Sporting Cristal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 19 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 28:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), Yoshimar Yotún (2 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), Gabriel Santana (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 4 times, Sporting Cristal won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Universitario
3
2
7
5
4
1
Lineups
Universitario
Cienciano
Universitario
Cusco
Universitario
ADT
Universitario
Millonarios
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Universitario
Cusco
Universitario
Millonarios
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Cienciano
Universitario
ADT
Universitario
Universidad de Chile
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 38:13 | 25 | 48 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:27 | 4 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 36 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Universitario
Home
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 36 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Sporting Cristal
Away
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 26 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16:22 | -6 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:46 | -20 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
D
|