PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental
Referee: S. Lozano
Universitario
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
C. Fara
Universitario
🟨
30'
Y. Yotun
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
J. Gonzalez ↔ L. Sosa
Sporting Cristal
🔄
65'
Gabriel ↔ J. Cuesta
Sporting Cristal
🔄
71'
A. Santamaria ↔ W. Riveros
Universitario
72'
G. Lapadula · Assist: A. Valera
Universitario
🔄
75'
H. Barcos ↔ M. Hoyos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
76'
L. Diaz ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
82'
Y. Yotun
Sporting Cristal
🔄
83'
J. Concha ↔ L. Alzugaray
Universitario
🔄
83'
J. Requena ↔ J. Murrugarra
Universitario
🟨
89'
A. Quiroz
Universitario
🟨
90+1'
C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
90+5'
S. Gonzalez ↔ M. Castro
Sporting Cristal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitario Win 83.3%
Draw 10.8%
Sporting Cristal Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario1.41
Sporting Cristal1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario Universitario
WWDLW
41 GF / 28 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
45 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
14
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
19
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario Universitario 30 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 31 matches
Universitario Statistic Sporting Cristal
14 Wins 11
8 Draws 6
8 Losses 14
41 Goals For 45
28 Goals Against 46
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
14 BTTS Yes 20
20 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 4
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.8
13.38 Total Shots 14.5
5.92 Corners 5.4
52.1% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universitario's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Cristal. Sporting Cristal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universitario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 29 points compared to Sporting Cristal in 12 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Universitario Analysis

Universitario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 29 points after 17 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:15, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Alex Valera (5 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), Caín Fara (2 goals), with creative support from Edison Flores (2 assists), Jairo Concha (2 assists), Andy Polo (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

Sporting Cristal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 19 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 28:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), Yoshimar Yotún (2 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), Gabriel Santana (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 4 times, Sporting Cristal won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Universitario 4-1-3-2 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universitario wins 4, draws 8, Sporting Cristal wins 3
Stats
Universitario Universitario
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 0
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
347 Total passes 447
272 Passes accurate 373
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Universitario
Formation
Sporting Cristal
Diego Romero
Diego Romero
Caín Fara
Caín Fara
Anderson Santamaría
Anderson Santamaría
Matías Di Benedetto
Matías Di Benedetto
Andy Polo
Andy Polo
Adrián Quiroz
Adrián Quiroz
Juan Manuel Requena
Juan Manuel Requena
Jairo Concha
Jairo Concha
César Inga
César Inga
Gianluca Lapadula
Gianluca Lapadula
Alex Valera
🎯
Alex Valera
Diego Enríquez
Diego Enríquez
Miguel Araujo
Miguel Araujo
Rafael Lutiger
Rafael Lutiger
Leonardo Díaz
Leonardo Díaz
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
Gabriel Santana
Gabriel Santana
Yoshimar Yotún
Yoshimar Yotún
Martín Távara
Martín Távara
Cristiano
Cristiano
Santiago González
Santiago González
Hernán Barcos
Hernán Barcos
Universitario 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Diego Romero
G
2
Caín Fara
🟨 16'
D
4
Anderson Santamaría
↓ 71'
D
5
Matías Di Benedetto
D
24
Andy Polo
M
28
Adrián Quiroz
🟨 89'
M
15
Juan Manuel Requena
↓ 83'
M
17
Jairo Concha
↓ 83'
M
33
César Inga
M
18
Gianluca Lapadula
⚽ 72'
F
20
Alex Valera
🎯 72'
F
Substitutes
3
Williams Riveros
↑ 71'
D
23
Jorge Murrugarra
↑ 83'
M
30
Lisandro Alzugaray
↑ 83'
F
25
Miguel Vargas
G
29
Aldo Corzo
D
8
Héctor Fértoli
M
21
Jordan Guivin
M
10
Horacio Calcaterra
M
11
José Rivera
F
Sporting Cristal 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Diego Enríquez
G
20
Miguel Araujo
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
32
Leonardo Díaz
↓ 76'
D
18
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
↓ 46'
M
27
Gabriel Santana
↓ 65'
M
19
Yoshimar Yotún
⚽ 82' 🟨 30'
M
25
Martín Távara
M
90
Cristiano
M
7
Santiago González
↓ 90+5'
F
29
Hernán Barcos
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
8
Leandro Sosa
↑ 46'
M
77
Juan Manuel Cuesta
↑ 65'
F
22
Michael Hoyos
↑ 75'
M
21
Catriel Cabellos
↑ 76' 🟨 90+1'
M
23
Maxloren Castro
↑ 90+5'
F
33
César Bautista
G
26
Ian Wisdom
M
11
Irven Ávila
F
16
Luis Iberico
F
Last matches: Universitario
02.08.26
Pri
Universitario
Cienciano
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Universitario
Cusco
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario
ADT
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Universitario
Millonarios
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
20.05.26
CON
Universitario
Club Nacional
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Sport Boys
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
W
30.04.26
CON
Universitario
Club Nacional
4
2
W
26.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Universitario
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
15.04.26
CON
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Alianza Lima
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
0
0
D
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
02.08.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
W
H2H: Universitario vs Sporting Cristal
08.08.26
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
21.02.26
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
2
2
D
24.10.25
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
0
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.10.24
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
2
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
0
0
D
25.04.23
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
09.10.22
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
0
0
D
22.05.22
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
04.08.21
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
2
2
D
25.04.21
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
20.12.20
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
1
1
D
17.12.20
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
20.11.20
H2H
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
2
2
D
Last matches: Universitario
25.07.26
Pri
Universitario
Cusco
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Universitario
Millonarios
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Universitario
Club Nacional
4
2
W
26.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
4
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario
Alianza Lima
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Universitario
Cienciano
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Universitario
ADT
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Universitario
Universidad de Chile
3
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Universitario
FBC Melgar
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Universitario
Sport Boys
0
1
L
H2H at home: Universitario
08.08.26
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
25.04.23
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
22.05.22
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
17.12.20
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
26.07.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
15.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
04.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
18.02.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
H2H away: Sporting Cristal
08.08.26
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
4
1
L
25.04.23
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
2
0
L
22.05.22
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
0
1
W
17.12.20
H2H
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 38:13 25 48
D W D W D
2 21 12 5 4 31:27 4 41
D W L W D
3 21 11 3 7 37:28 9 36
L W L L W
4 21 10 6 5 29:20 9 36
D L W W W
5 22 11 3 8 33:31 2 36
W L W L W
6 21 10 5 6 36:26 10 35
L D W W W
7 21 10 5 6 26:20 6 35
W W W L W
8 22 7 7 8 27:27 0 28
D W L W L
9 21 7 6 8 19:21 -2 27
D W W L W
10 21 7 5 9 33:33 0 26
D W L W L
11 22 6 8 8 27:29 -2 26
L W L D D
12 22 6 5 11 16:22 -6 23
W D L L W
13 21 6 5 10 27:34 -7 23
D W W L L
14 22 5 7 10 25:28 -3 22
D D L L L
15 21 5 6 10 30:36 -6 21
W L L D D
16 21 5 6 10 19:28 -9 21
L D D D L
17 22 5 6 11 26:46 -20 21
L D L W D
18 21 4 8 9 24:34 -10 15
D L D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2