TURKEY 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu
Referee: C. Altay
Ümraniyespor
Match Timeline
Keçiörengücü
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Y. Kocaturk · Assist: C. Soukou
Ümraniyespor
17'
J. Fernandes · Assist: O. Roshi
Keçiörengücü
23'
J. Fernandes · Assist: F. Ezeh
Keçiörengücü
VAR
26'
Junior Fernandes
Keçiörengücü
🔄
29'
I. Akdag ↔ E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
VAR
32'
Ali Dere
Keçiörengücü
32'
J. Fernandes
Keçiörengücü
45'
F. Ezeh · Assist: E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
🔄
46'
O. Yildirim ↔ A. T. Bulbul
Ümraniyespor
🔄
46'
Y. D. Sas ↔ O. Ugur
Ümraniyespor
🔄
70'
H. Ayan ↔ E. Rroca
Keçiörengücü
🔄
70'
O. Roshi ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
71'
C. Soukou ↔ D. Ertugrul
Ümraniyespor
🔄
81'
T. Kosoko ↔ B. Ekincier
Ümraniyespor
🔄
81'
S. Cengiz ↔ A. Yavuz
Ümraniyespor
🔄
83'
H. Bulut ↔ H. Bilgic
Keçiörengücü
🔄
83'
F. Ezeh ↔ O. Diaby
Keçiörengücü

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ümraniyespor Win 32.7%
Draw 11.2%
Keçiörengücü Win 56.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ümraniyespor1.2
Keçiörengücü1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WWDLW
46 GF / 47 GA
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WLDWL
69 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
16
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
22
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 37 matches
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 37 matches
Ümraniyespor Statistic Keçiörengücü
13 Wins 15
7 Draws 12
17 Losses 10
46 Goals For 69
47 Goals Against 42
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
16 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 7
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.86
9.86 Total Shots 13.19
4 Corners 4.32
46.9% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Keçiörengücü's more proactive style and Ümraniyespor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Keçiörengücü. Keçiörengücü carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 57 points while Ümraniyespor sit 15 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ümraniyespor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Keçiörengücü in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Keçiörengücü having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

With 46 points from 37 games and a place of 15, Ümraniyespor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 46:47 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Celik (12 goals), Benny (6 goals), Jurgen Bardhi (6 goals), with creative support from Benny (7 assists), B. Celik (4 assists), Atalay Babacan (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

Keçiörengücü sit 7 with 57 points after 37 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 69:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Diouf (17 goals), F. Ezeh (10 goals), J. Fernandes (10 goals), with creative support from I. Akdag (9 assists), F. Ezeh (6 assists), J. Fernandes (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ümraniyespor won 6 times, Keçiörengücü won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Ümraniyespor's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Ümraniyespor 4-3-3 / Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ümraniyespor wins 6, draws 2, Keçiörengücü wins 6
Stats
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 2
0 Offsides 5
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
448 Total passes 426
375 Passes accurate 367
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ümraniyespor
Formation
Keçiörengücü
O. Yildirim
O. Yildirim
O. Yildirim
O. Yildirim
S. Cengiz
S. Cengiz
Y. Kocaturk
Y. Kocaturk
E. Kaplan
E. Kaplan
Y. D. Sas
Y. D. Sas
A. Babacan
A. Babacan
J. Bardhi
J. Bardhi
Benny
Benny
C. Soukou
🎯
C. Soukou
T. Kosoko
T. Kosoko
E. Satilmis
E. Satilmis
H. Bulut
H. Bulut
Wellington Nascimento
Wellington Nascimento
A. Celik
A. Celik
A. Dere
A. Dere
I. Karaogul
I. Karaogul
I. Akdag
I. Akdag
O. Roshi
🎯
O. Roshi
H. Ayan
H. Ayan
F. Ezeh
🎯
F. Ezeh
J. Fernandes
⚽ 3
J. Fernandes
Ümraniyespor 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
O. Yildirim
G
70
O. Yildirim
↓ 46'
D
36
S. Cengiz
↓ 81'
D
14
Y. Kocaturk
⚽ 7'
D
75
E. Kaplan
D
30
Y. D. Sas
↓ 46'
M
20
A. Babacan
M
10
J. Bardhi
M
77
Benny
F
27
C. Soukou
🎯 7' ↓ 71'
F
12
T. Kosoko
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
1
U. Adiyaman
G
11
B. Ekincier
↑ 81'
F
81
A. T. Bulbul
↑ 46'
D
97
Y. Saitoglu
D
59
Y. Yilmaz
D
8
S. Goksu
M
92
T. Ozdemir
38
O. Ugur
↑ 46'
M
37
A. Yavuz
↑ 81'
D
60
D. Ertugrul
↑ 71'
M
Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
E. Satilmis
G
10
H. Bulut
↓ 83'
D
15
Wellington Nascimento
D
4
A. Celik
D
11
A. Dere
D
36
I. Karaogul
M
14
I. Akdag
↓ 29'
M
7
O. Roshi
🎯 17' ↓ 70'
M
22
H. Ayan
↓ 70'
M
21
F. Ezeh
⚽ 45' 🎯 23' ↓ 83'
M
78
J. Fernandes
⚽ 17' ⚽ 23' ⚽ 32'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Erdogan
G
8
E. Rroca
↑ 70'
M
73
S. Lus
D
5
O. Caliskan
D
28
E. Yilmaz
↑ 70'
M
23
Mexer
D
17
H. Bilgic
↑ 83'
D
6
E. Develi
🎯 45' ↑ 29'
M
9
A. Akman
F
70
O. Diaby
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: Ümraniyespor
25.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Adana Demirspor
3
1
W
19.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
1
2
L
13.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Amed
2
2
D
08.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bodrum FK
0
1
L
21.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
15.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
0
1
L
11.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Erzurumspor FK
3
1
W
06.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sarıyer
2
1
W
01.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
22.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Çorum FK
0
2
L
17.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Boluspor
4
2
W
13.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Iğdır FK
1
1
D
08.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
0
0
D
02.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Esenler Erokspor
0
1
L
25.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
2
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Serik Spor
5
0
W
12.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
28.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
21.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Adana Demirspor
5
0
W
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
07.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
19.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
0
1
L
12.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
0
0
D
08.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
3
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
1
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
2
2
D
23.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
1
0
W
18.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
14.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
3
4
L
08.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
3
1
W
31.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
24.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
5
1
W
19.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
11.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
5
0
W
28.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
3
1
W
H2H: Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü
02.05.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
4
L
28.12.25
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
3
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
0
1
W
15.12.24
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
L
28.04.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
4
2
L
09.12.23
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
W
19.04.22
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
3
2
L
19.02.21
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
0
1
W
17.10.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
L
22.02.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
W
28.09.19
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
1
1
D
19.04.15
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D
07.12.14
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
1
2
W
Last matches: Ümraniyespor
19.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Vanspor FK
1
2
L
08.04.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
11.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Erzurumspor FK
3
1
W
01.03.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
17.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Boluspor
4
2
W
08.02.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
İstanbulspor
0
0
D
18.01.26
1.
Ümraniyespor
Serik Spor
5
0
W
21.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Adana Demirspor
5
0
W
06.12.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Amed
3
4
L
23.11.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Bodrum FK
1
0
W
01.11.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
1
0
W
17.10.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Sarıyer
1
3
L
27.09.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Çorum FK
1
1
D
19.09.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Iğdır FK
0
1
L
30.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Esenler Erokspor
0
2
L
24.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor
1
1
D
08.08.25
1.
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
H2H at home: Ümraniyespor
02.05.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
4
L
15.12.24
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
L
09.12.23
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
W
19.04.22
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
1
W
17.10.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
L
22.02.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
W
19.04.15
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
07.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
19.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
0
1
L
08.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
1
3
L
07.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
1
0
W
23.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
1
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
3
4
L
31.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
19.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
20.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
2
D
06.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
3
1
W
23.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
1
1
D
09.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
2
W
25.10.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
0
1
L
04.10.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
1
4
L
24.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
1
D
14.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
24.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
1
2
L
09.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
3
1
W
H2H away: Keçiörengücü
02.05.26
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
4
W
15.12.24
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
W
09.12.23
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
L
19.04.22
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
1
L
17.10.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
2
0
L
19.04.15
H2H
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation