AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
--.--.---- --:--
Kambah Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tuggeranong United Win 45.9%
Draw 14.3%
Canberra Juventus Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tuggeranong United2.26
Canberra Juventus2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United
WWDLW
47 GF / 39 GA
Canberra Juventus Canberra Juventus
WLDWL
39 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.47
Average Goals Scored
2.05
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
15
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 19 matches
Canberra Juventus Canberra Juventus 19 matches
Tuggeranong United Statistic Canberra Juventus
13 Wins 11
0 Draws 0
6 Losses 8
47 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 37
2.47 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Canberra Juventus having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Canberra Juventus. Canberra Juventus arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Tuggeranong United Analysis

Tuggeranong United approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a 47:39 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Canberra Juventus Analysis

Canberra Juventus approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 33 points from 18 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 38:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Tuggeranong United won 0 times, Canberra Juventus won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:5 from Tuggeranong United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: Tuggeranong United wins 0, draws 0, Canberra Juventus wins 1
Last matches: Tuggeranong United
12.08.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Brindabella
6
0
W
05.08.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Queanbeyan City
2
4
L
01.08.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra Olympic
2
1
W
25.07.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Cooma Tigers FC
1
4
L
22.07.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra White Eagles
2
1
W
11.07.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Belconnen United
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra FC
2
1
W
13.06.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
O'Connor Knights
3
2
W
10.06.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
6
L
03.06.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Belconnen United
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra Juventus
0
5
L
16.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Brindabella
5
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra FC
2
3
L
09.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra Olympic
6
4
W
02.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
24.04.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra White Eagles
4
2
W
15.04.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
O'Connor Knights
2
0
W
11.04.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Queanbeyan City
2
1
W
27.03.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
2
L
06.09.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
5
L
Last matches: Canberra Juventus
16.08.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Queanbeyan City
1
2
L
09.08.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra White Eagles
4
2
W
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra FC
0
4
L
26.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
0
3
L
21.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra FC
2
5
L
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
2
0
W
04.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
2
0
W
14.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
1
5
L
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
3
2
W
30.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Tuggeranong United
5
0
W
23.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Queanbeyan City
1
3
L
17.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra White Eagles
4
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
1
0
W
02.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
3
5
L
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
3
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
2
1
W
01.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
1
2
L
H2H: Tuggeranong United vs Canberra Juventus
30.05.26
H2H
Canberra Juventus
Tuggeranong United
5
0
L
Last matches: Tuggeranong United
22.07.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra White Eagles
2
1
W
11.07.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Belconnen United
1
0
W
10.06.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
6
L
16.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Brindabella
5
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra FC
2
3
L
09.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra Olympic
6
4
W
02.05.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
15.04.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
O'Connor Knights
2
0
W
11.04.26
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Queanbeyan City
2
1
W
24.08.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
O'Connor Knights
3
1
W
02.08.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
1
D
27.07.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Gungahlin United
2
1
W
20.07.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Canberra FC
1
7
L
12.07.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Queanbeyan City
1
3
L
29.06.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Cooma Tigers FC
0
3
L
22.06.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Yoogali CT
2
1
W
15.06.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
0
1
L
11.05.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
O'Connor Knights
1
1
D
06.04.25
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Gungahlin United
0
0
D
25.08.24
Cap
Tuggeranong United
Monaro Panthers
1
0
W
Last matches: Canberra Juventus
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra FC
0
4
L
04.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
1
0
W
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
3
2
W
23.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Queanbeyan City
1
3
L
17.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra White Eagles
4
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
1
0
W
02.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
3
5
L
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
3
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
3
2
W

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 16 1 2 60:24 36 49
W W W W W
2 20 14 2 4 59:24 35 44
W W W W D
3 19 14 1 4 66:26 40 43
L W D W W
4 19 13 0 6 47:39 8 39
W L W L W
5 19 11 2 6 41:28 13 35
W W W L D
6 19 11 0 8 39:37 2 33
L W L L L
7 19 6 2 11 40:51 -11 20
W L L D W
8 19 6 2 11 24:38 -14 20
W L D D L
9 19 2 3 14 25:46 -21 9
L L L D L
10 19 3 0 16 11:61 -50 9
L L L W L
11 19 2 1 16 17:55 -38 7
L L W L L