ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
16.08.2026 18:00
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristan Suarez
Match Timeline
Almirante Brown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
S. Ramirez · Assist: D. Becker
Tristan Suarez
🟨
24'
S. Gauna
Almirante Brown
29'
D. Becker
Tristan Suarez
🟨
31'
A. Baldi
Tristan Suarez
🔄
41'
S. Gauna ↔ L. Jara
Almirante Brown
🟨
45+3'
M. Abreliano
Almirante Brown
🔄
46'
S. Ramirez ↔ J. Beron
Tristan Suarez
🔄
46'
M. Abreliano ↔ J. Lopez
Almirante Brown
🔄
46'
P. Velurtas ↔ J. Ibanez
Almirante Brown
🔄
55'
E. Cardozo ↔ G. Altamirano
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
D. Becker ↔ N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🔄
70'
E. Martinez ↔ M. Zanotti
Almirante Brown
🔄
77'
M. Olguin ↔ A. Molina
Tristan Suarez
🔄
77'
A. Gallo ↔ M. Alvarez
Tristan Suarez
81'
J. Beron · Assist: N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🔄
83'
N. Del Priore ↔ L. Noriega
Tristan Suarez
86'
M. Zanotti · Assist: L. Jara
Almirante Brown
🟥
90'
G. Altamirano
Almirante Brown
🟨
90+2'
J. Beron
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tristan Suarez Win 67.9%
Draw 7.6%
Almirante Brown Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tristan Suarez0.79
Almirante Brown0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
19 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.54
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 24 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 24 matches
Tristan Suarez Statistic Almirante Brown
11 Wins 10
9 Draws 8
4 Losses 6
23 Goals For 19
13 Goals Against 13
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.54
7 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
15 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almirante Brown. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 22 games, Tristan Suarez bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:12, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 35 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tristan Suarez won 6 times, Almirante Brown won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Tristan Suarez's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Tristan Suarez 4-2-3-1 / Almirante Brown -
H2H summary: Tristan Suarez wins 6, draws 7, Almirante Brown wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation