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DENMARK › 2. DIVISION
04.10.2026 12:00
Thisted FC
Match Timeline
Roskilde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
S. Madsen
Roskilde
⚽
90+2'
M. Hammelboe
Roskilde

Thisted FC vs Roskilde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Thisted FC Win 29%
Draw 15.7%
Roskilde Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thisted FC1.15
Roskilde2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thisted FC Thisted FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 39 GA
Roskilde Roskilde
WLDWL
37 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
2.06
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
9
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thisted FC Thisted FC 18 matches
Roskilde Roskilde 18 matches
Thisted FC Statistic Roskilde
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 9
11 Losses 1
20 Goals For 37
39 Goals Against 22
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
9 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 2
9 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Roskilde's more proactive style and Thisted FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Roskilde. Thisted FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Roskilde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 15 points while Thisted FC sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Roskilde having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Thisted FC Analysis

With 4 points from 9 games and a place of 12, Thisted FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 8:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Roskilde Analysis

Roskilde arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 15 points after 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 16:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Thisted FC won 6 times, Roskilde won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Thisted FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
H2H summary: Thisted FC wins 6, draws 4, Roskilde wins 4

Standings

2nd Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 30:15 15 25
L W D D W
2 11 5 6 0 21:10 11 21
W W D W D
3 12 4 7 1 17:14 3 19
W D D D D
4 11 5 3 3 15:10 5 18
L L W D D
5 12 5 3 4 20:16 4 18
L W W W L
6 11 4 5 2 19:13 6 17
L W D D D
7 12 4 5 3 16:18 -2 17
W L L W D
8 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L W L W D
9 11 3 3 5 13:18 -5 12
W W D L D
10 11 2 3 6 9:19 -10 9
D L D L L
11 11 1 3 7 11:23 -12 6
D L L L L
12 11 1 2 8 9:22 -13 5
D L L W L
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
2nd Division (Relegation Group)