GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Referee: B. Brand
SV Elversberg
Match Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
M. Rohr · Assist: L. Petkov
SV Elversberg
17'
D. Mokwa Ntusu · Assist: L. Gunther
SV Elversberg
28'
L. Petkov · Assist: L. Poreba
SV Elversberg
🟨
38'
Jan Gyamerah
SV Elversberg
41'
L. Petkov · Assist: T. Zimmerschied
SV Elversberg
🟨
43'
Immanuel Pherai
SV Elversberg
🔄
46'
F. Gotze ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
46'
R. Muller ↔ K. Okpala
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
47'
Tjark Lasse Scheller
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
62'
L. Gunther ↔ N. Mickelson
SV Elversberg
🔄
62'
M. Baur ↔ N. Batzner
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
64'
Amara Condé
SV Elversberg
65'
C. Brackelmann · Assist: N. Batzner
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
68'
S. Marino ↔ S. Michel
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
I. Pherai ↔ F. Schmahl
SV Elversberg
🔄
73'
L. Petkov ↔ J. Malanga
SV Elversberg
🟨
74'
Kennedy Okpala
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
78'
Steffen Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
81'
T. Scheller ↔ N. Mohr
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
85'
D. Mokwa Ntusu ↔ L. Schnellbacher
SV Elversberg
🔄
85'
T. Zimmerschied ↔ R. Adam
SV Elversberg
🟨
90+5'
Steffen Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
90'
Nick Bätzner
SC Paderborn 07
🟥
90+5'
Steffen Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
90'
R. Adam · Assist: L. Schnellbacher
SV Elversberg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SV Elversberg Win 51.3%
Draw 8.7%
SC Paderborn 07 Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SV Elversberg1.55
SC Paderborn 071.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
WWDLW
55 GF / 35 GA
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WLDWL
54 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
17
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
19
5.26
Shots on Goal
5.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 31 matches
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 31 matches
SV Elversberg Statistic SC Paderborn 07
16 Wins 17
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
55 Goals For 54
35 Goals Against 38
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
17 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
5.26 Shots On Goal 5.42
15.32 Total Shots 15.58
6.26 Corners 5.23
53.4% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SV Elversberg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Paderborn 07 in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Paderborn 07 having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SC Paderborn 07. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SV Elversberg Analysis

SV Elversberg come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 56 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 55:35 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Ebnoutalib (12 goals), L. Petkov (11 goals), Maximilian Rohr (4 goals), with creative support from T. Zimmerschied (7 assists), L. Petkov (5 assists), Lasse Günther (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

SC Paderborn 07 Analysis

SC Paderborn 07 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 58 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a 54:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Bilbija (14 goals), Laurin Curda (7 goals), Steffen Tigges (6 goals), with creative support from Laurin Curda (7 assists), Raphael Obermair (7 assists), Mika Baur (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, SV Elversberg won 3 times, SC Paderborn 07 won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from SV Elversberg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1 / SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: SV Elversberg wins 3, draws 1, SC Paderborn 07 wins 2
Stats
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 7
0 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
326 Total passes 435
240 Passes accurate 340
2.72 expected_goals 1.10
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

SV Elversberg
Formation
SC Paderborn 07
N. Kristof
N. Kristof
J. Gyamerah
J. Gyamerah
M. Rohr
M. Rohr
F. Le Joncour
F. Le Joncour
L. Gunther
🎯
L. Gunther
A. Conde
A. Conde
L. Poreba
🎯
L. Poreba
L. Petkov
⚽ 2 🎯
L. Petkov
I. Pherai
I. Pherai
T. Zimmerschied
🎯
T. Zimmerschied
D. Mokwa Ntusu
D. Mokwa Ntusu
D. Seimen
D. Seimen
L. Curda
L. Curda
T. Scheller
T. Scheller
F. Gotze
F. Gotze
C. Brackelmann
C. Brackelmann
J. Sticker
J. Sticker
S. Castaneda
S. Castaneda
M. Baur
M. Baur
F. Bilbija
F. Bilbija
R. Muller
R. Muller
S. Marino
S. Marino
SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
20
N. Kristof
G
30
J. Gyamerah
🟨 38'
D
31
M. Rohr
⚽ 4'
D
3
F. Le Joncour
D
21
L. Gunther
🎯 17' ↓ 62'
D
6
A. Conde
🟨 64'
M
8
L. Poreba
🎯 28'
M
25
L. Petkov
⚽ 28' ⚽ 41' 🎯 4' ↓ 73'
M
22
I. Pherai
↓ 73' 🟨 43'
M
29
T. Zimmerschied
🎯 41' ↓ 85'
M
42
D. Mokwa Ntusu
⚽ 17' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
28
T. Boss
G
16
L. Pfeiffer
F
2
N. Mickelson
↑ 62'
D
17
F. Schmahl
↑ 73'
M
10
B. Conte
M
14
J. Malanga
↑ 73'
M
24
L. Schnellbacher
🎯 90' ↑ 85'
M
23
C. Sickinger
M
15
R. Adam
⚽ 90' ↑ 85'
F
SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2
Starting XI
41
D. Seimen
G
17
L. Curda
D
25
T. Scheller
↓ 81' 🟨 47'
D
20
F. Gotze
↓ 46'
D
4
C. Brackelmann
⚽ 65'
D
3
J. Sticker
D
5
S. Castaneda
M
14
M. Baur
↓ 62'
M
7
F. Bilbija
M
2
R. Muller
↓ 46'
F
30
S. Marino
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Schubert
G
11
S. Michel
↑ 68'
F
8
D. Kinsombi
M
27
S. Tigges
↑ 46' 🟨 78' 🟨 90+5' 🟥 90+5'
F
26
S. Klaas
M
9
N. Batzner
🎯 65' ↑ 62' 🟨 90'
M
22
M. Hansen
M
24
N. Mohr
↑ 81'
D
10
K. Okpala
↑ 46'
Last matches: SV Elversberg
04.07.26
Fri
SV Elversberg
FC Gießen
5
0
W
17.05.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Preußen Münster
3
0
W
10.05.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
3
L
25.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
SV Darmstadt 98
3
3
D
17.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Karlsruher SC
3
0
W
12.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
05.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Hannover 96
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
SV Elversberg
1899 Hoffenheim
5
3
W
21.03.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Arminia Bielefeld
3
1
W
13.03.26
2.
SV Elversberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0
2
L
06.03.26
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
28.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Holstein Kiel
1
1
D
21.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
1
W
14.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Trier
0
2
L
07.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Hertha BSC
0
3
L
31.01.26
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3
1
W
25.01.26
2.
SV Elversberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
17.01.26
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Nürnberg
2
3
L
09.01.26
Fri
SV Elversberg
FC Basel 1893
6
5
W
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
17.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
0
W
08.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
26.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
H2H: SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07
03.05.26
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
5
1
W
06.12.25
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
30.11.24
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
3
L
27.04.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
3
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
4
1
W
Last matches: SV Elversberg
17.05.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Preußen Münster
3
0
W
17.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Karlsruher SC
3
0
W
12.04.26
2.
SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
21.03.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Arminia Bielefeld
3
1
W
06.03.26
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
21.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
1
W
07.02.26
2.
SV Elversberg
Hertha BSC
0
3
L
25.01.26
2.
SV Elversberg
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
14.12.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
0
W
30.11.25
2.
SV Elversberg
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
31.10.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Hannover 96
2
2
D
19.10.25
2.
SV Elversberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
6
0
W
27.09.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Holstein Kiel
1
0
W
14.09.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Dynamo Dresden
2
2
D
22.08.25
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
02.08.25
2.
SV Elversberg
1. FC Nürnberg
1
0
W
10.05.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
0
W
19.04.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
1
D
06.04.25
2.
SV Elversberg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
6
0
W
15.03.25
2.
SV Elversberg
Preußen Münster
0
1
L
H2H at home: SV Elversberg
03.05.26
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
5
1
W
30.11.24
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
3
L
25.11.23
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
4
1
W
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
17.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
0
W
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
13.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
4
0
W
28.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
09.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
1
0
W
25.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
03.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
1
W
20.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
2
0
W
29.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
0
0
D
08.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
18.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
0
3
L
02.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
0
W
19.04.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
3
2
W
H2H away: SC Paderborn 07
03.05.26
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
5
1
L
30.11.24
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
1
3
W
25.11.23
H2H
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
4
1
L

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga