ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 19:00
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.9%
1.50
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.08
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Sunderland Win 34.5%
Draw 3.6%
Arsenal Win 61.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sunderland1.54
Arsenal1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sunderland Sunderland
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
13 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sunderland Sunderland 6 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 7 matches
Sunderland Statistic Arsenal
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
12 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 6
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
4.33 Shots On Goal 6.25
12.33 Total Shots 17.25
3.67 Corners 5.75
51.3% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 1 times, Arsenal won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:32 from Sunderland's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Sunderland 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sunderland 2, Arsenal 3
H2H summary: Sunderland wins 1, draws 4, Arsenal wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:2 5 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:1 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
D W W
4 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W
5 3 1 2 0 5:2 3 5
D D W
6 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
W D D
7 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
D W D
8 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
D D W
9 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D D W
10 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
11 3 1 1 1 7:6 1 4
D W L
12 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
D W L
13 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L L W
15 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
D D L
16 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
17 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
19 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:5 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship