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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 19:00
Stadium of Light
Referee: John Brooks, England
Sunderland
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Reinildo Mandava
Sunderland
🔄
46'
B. White ↔ J. Timber
Arsenal
🔄
46'
M. Lewis-Skelly ↔ Bruno Guimaraes
Arsenal
⚽
56'
Enzo Le Fée
Sunderland
⚽
58'
Bruno Guimaraes · Assist: D. Rice
Arsenal
🟨
66'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🟨
69'
Granit Xhaka
Sunderland
🔄
70'
N. Angulo ↔ W. Isidor
Sunderland
🔄
76'
T. Meunier ↔ M. Fofana
Sunderland
🟨
81'
Brian Brobbey
Sunderland
🔄
81'
D. Rice ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
🔄
81'
C. Tzolis ↔ E. Eze
Arsenal
🔄
85'
M. Odegaard ↔ M. Merino
Arsenal
🟨
90+6'
Reinildo Mandava
Sunderland
🟨
90+1'
Nordi Mukiele
Sunderland
🟥
90+6'
Reinildo Mandava
Sunderland
🟨
90+3'
Kai Havertz
Arsenal
🟨
90+1'
Gabriel Magalhães
Arsenal
⚽
90'
B. Saka
Arsenal

Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sunderland Win 34.5%
Draw 3.6%
Arsenal Win 61.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sunderland1.54
Arsenal1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sunderland Sunderland
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
13 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
6.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sunderland Sunderland 6 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 7 matches
Sunderland Statistic Arsenal
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
12 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 6
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
4.33 Shots On Goal 6.25
12.33 Total Shots 17.25
3.67 Corners 5.75
51.3% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 1 times, Arsenal won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:32 from Sunderland's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Sunderland 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sunderland 2, Arsenal 3
H2H summary: Sunderland wins 1, draws 4, Arsenal wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship