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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
05.09.2026 19:00
The SMISA Stadium
Referee: Ryan Lee, Scotland
ST Mirren
Match Timeline
Celtic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Colby Donovan
Celtic
⚽
22'
N. Agrafiotis
ST Mirren
VAR
31'
Camilo Durán
Celtic
🟨
37'
Calvin Ramsay
ST Mirren
⚽
51'
L. Scales · Assist: B. Nygren
Celtic
🔄
62'
F. Taylor ↔ S. Ramos
ST Mirren
🔄
68'
N. Agrafiotis ↔ E. Sule
ST Mirren
⚽
68'
Yang Hyun-Jun · Assist: C. Duran
Celtic
🔄
69'
C. R. Mochrie ↔ L. Thomas
ST Mirren
🔄
72'
H. Hassan ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
73'
M. Baur ↔ O. Sorensen
Celtic
🔄
73'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ S. Tounekti
Celtic
🔄
83'
R. Carr ↔ J. Young
ST Mirren
🔄
83'
C. Duran ↔ S. Mheuka
Celtic
🔄
87'
C. Donovan ↔ D. Murray
Celtic
🟨
90+7'
Samuel Ramos
ST Mirren
🟨
90+7'
Paul Nsio
ST Mirren
🟨
90+6'
Eseosa Sule
ST Mirren
VAR
90+5'
Shumaira Mheuka
Celtic

ST Mirren vs Celtic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ST Mirren Win 33.2%
Draw 23.1%
Celtic Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Mirren1.92
Celtic1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Celtic Celtic
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
7
4.75
Shots on Goal
8.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ST Mirren ST Mirren 5 matches
Celtic Celtic 10 matches
ST Mirren Statistic Celtic
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
11 Goals For 20
5 Goals Against 15
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 7
3 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
4.75 Shots On Goal 8.33
15.25 Total Shots 20.33
5.5 Corners 8.33
49% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Mirren won 1 times, Celtic won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:37 from ST Mirren's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
Predicted formations: ST Mirren 4-2-3-1 / Celtic 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: ST Mirren wins 1, draws 2, Celtic wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 16:4 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 11:5 6 19
W W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:8 11 16
W D L W W
4 8 4 1 3 11:8 3 13
W W L D L
5 8 3 2 3 10:10 0 11
W D L W D
6 8 3 2 3 10:11 -1 11
W W D L W
7 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L L L W
8 8 2 2 4 7:9 -2 8
L D W D L
9 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L L L L W
10 8 2 1 5 8:12 -4 7
L D L L L
11 8 1 3 4 7:11 -4 6
L D W D L
12 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
L D W D L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)