BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: L. Bellote
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Pedro Martins
Sport Recife
🟨
33'
David
Cuiaba
🔄
33'
Pedro Martins ↔ Diego Hernandez
Sport Recife
53'
Pedro Perotti
Sport Recife
🔄
59'
Marlon ↔ Lorenzo
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
68'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
70'
Jean Dias ↔ H. Pedro
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
David Miguel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Raylan ↔ Igor Inocencio
Cuiaba
🔄
71'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
75'
Fabio Gomes · Assist: Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 58.8%
Draw 13.8%
Cuiaba Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.05
Cuiaba0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.74
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
11
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
3
4.37
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 19 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 19 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Cuiaba
6 Wins 5
10 Draws 9
3 Losses 5
24 Goals For 14
18 Goals Against 14
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
11 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 10
4.37 Shots On Goal 4.42
13.95 Total Shots 12.68
5 Corners 4.95
54.1% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cuiaba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Sport Recife Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Sport Recife have collected 27 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 23:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Perotti (4 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (2 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 11 with 24 points after 18 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 1 times, Cuiaba won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Sport Recife's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-3-3 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 1, draws 4, Cuiaba wins 1
Stats
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 11
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
9 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 6
11 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
506 Total passes 223
435 Passes accurate 169
0.65 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Recife
Formation
Cuiaba
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Augusto
Augusto
Benevenuto
Benevenuto
Habraao
Habraao
Felipinho
Felipinho
Biel Fonseca
Biel Fonseca
Ze Gabriel
Ze Gabriel
Pedro Martins
Pedro Martins
Clayson
Clayson
Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Pedro Perotti
Pedro Perotti
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Alan Empereur
Alan Empereur
Raylan
Raylan
Raul
Raul
David Miguel
David Miguel
Marlon
Marlon
Jean Dias
Jean Dias
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Fabio Gomes
Fabio Gomes
Sport Recife 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
68
Augusto
D
5
Benevenuto
D
28
Habraao
D
60
Felipinho
D
6
Biel Fonseca
↓ 71'
M
23
Ze Gabriel
M
48
Pedro Martins
↓ 33' 🟨 24'
M
25
Clayson
↓ 68'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
F
9
Pedro Perotti
⚽ 53'
F
Substitutes
42
Adriano Sousa
G
1
Halls
G
7
Yago Felipe
↑ 71'
M
77
Dudu
↑ 68'
F
20
Diego Hernandez
↑ 33'
F
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
33
Kayky Almeida
D
54
Adriel
M
90
Ze Roberto
F
27
Claudinho
D
31
Marlon Douglas
F
96
Edson Lucas
D
Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
13
Joao Basso
D
5
Calebe Costa
D
33
Alan Empereur
D
37
Raylan
↓ 70'
M
30
Raul
M
20
David Miguel
↓ 70' 🟨 33'
M
6
Marlon
↓ 59'
M
77
Jean Dias
↓ 70'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 59'
F
90
Fabio Gomes
⚽ 75'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
96
H. Pedro
↑ 70'
F
97
Luiz Otavio
↑ 70'
2
Igor Inocencio
↑ 70'
D
4
Vitor Mendes
D
11
Eliel
F
36
Lorenzo
↑ 59'
D
70
Wesley Dias
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
🎯 75' ↑ 59'
F
Last matches: Sport Recife
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
19.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
1
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
Last matches: Cuiaba
22.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
3
1
W
09.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
H2H: Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
27.07.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
21.03.26
H2H
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
14.10.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
0
L
27.06.21
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
14.10.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
2
0
W
15.07.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
Last matches: Sport Recife
24.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
3
0
W
14.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sport Recife
27.07.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
27.06.21
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
14.10.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
2
0
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
15.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
3
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
27.07.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
27.06.21
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
14.10.19
H2H
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
2
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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