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28.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: E. Salazar
Bolívar
Match Timeline
ABB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
A. Bejarano
ABB
🟨
52'
R. Perozo
ABB
⚽
53'
B. Arce
Bolívar
🔄
56'
M. Salazar ↔ B. Espinoza
ABB
⚽
59'
B. Miranda
Bolívar
⚽
63'
M. Cauteruccio
Bolívar
🔄
66'
J. Cuellar ↔ A. Riascos
ABB
🔄
69'
C. A. Melgar ↔ E. Saavedra
Bolívar
🔄
70'
B. Miranda ↔ D. Romero
Bolívar
🔄
70'
Z. La Fuente ↔ F. Zamora
ABB
🔄
70'
D. Valda ↔ J. Briceno
ABB
🟨
79'
S. Reyes
ABB
🔄
80'
X. Arreaga ↔ S. Echeverria
Bolívar
🔄
80'
J. Velasquez ↔ J. Garcia
Bolívar
⚽
83'
E. Saavedra · Assist: J. Garcia
Bolívar
⚽
85'
R. Perozo · Assist: F. Zamora
ABB
🔄
86'
B. Arce ↔ C. Sejas
Bolívar

Bolívar vs ABB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bolívar Win 87.9%
Draw 4.6%
ABB Win 7.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolívar2.05
ABB1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolívar Bolívar
WWDLW
47 GF / 27 GA
ABB ABB
WLDWL
29 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
16
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
14
4.82
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolívar Bolívar 23 matches
ABB ABB 18 matches
Bolívar Statistic ABB
11 Wins 6
6 Draws 2
6 Losses 10
47 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 37
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
16 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
4.82 Shots On Goal 2.75
11.41 Total Shots 7.88
3.59 Corners 2.81
38.6% Ball Possession 23.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bolívar's more proactive style and ABB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bolívar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ABB. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ABB having the stronger overall control. Bolívar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 30 points compared to ABB in 13 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Bolívar Analysis

Bolívar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 30 points after 15 matches. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:16, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

ABB Analysis

ABB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 16 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar won 3 times, ABB won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Bolívar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Bolívar 4-4-2 / ABB 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Bolívar wins 3, draws 0, ABB wins 0

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
2 21 15 3 3 55:22 33 48
W W W W W
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 22 10 8 4 29:14 15 38
W W W W D
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 21 7 10 4 33:29 4 31
D L W W D
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 21 8 4 9 32:30 2 28
D L W W L
9 21 6 9 6 30:23 7 27
L D W L D
10 21 7 4 10 27:37 -10 25
L L L L W
11 21 7 3 11 35:51 -16 24
W L L W D
12 21 6 3 12 21:40 -19 21
D W L L L
13
ABB Away
22 6 2 14 31:47 -16 20
L L L L W
14 22 5 5 12 16:39 -23 20
W D L L L
15 21 5 3 13 27:42 -15 18
L D W L W
16 22 3 8 11 25:39 -14 17
L W L L L