COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional de Bogota Win 55.8%
Draw 10.1%
Deportivo Pasto Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota1.31
Deportivo Pasto1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WWDLW
32 GF / 40 GA
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
WLDWL
34 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
16
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 26 matches
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 26 matches
Internacional de Bogota Statistic Deportivo Pasto
9 Wins 11
8 Draws 4
9 Losses 11
32 Goals For 34
40 Goals Against 37
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
16 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 7
4.52 Shots On Goal 3.72
12.64 Total Shots 11.52
4.48 Corners 4.04
44.2% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Internacional de Bogota's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Pasto. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional de Bogota expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Pasto in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pasto having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

With 28 points from 19 games and a place of 8, Internacional de Bogota still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 26:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pasto Analysis

Deportivo Pasto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 34 points from 19 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Santiago Córdoba (1 goals), Jorge Obregón (1 goals), Joider Micolta (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Córdoba (1 assists), Diego Chávez (1 assists), Hervin Goyes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 4 times, Deportivo Pasto won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Internacional de Bogota 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2
H2H summary: Internacional de Bogota wins 4, draws 8, Deportivo Pasto wins 3
Last matches: Internacional de Bogota
19.08.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Cucuta
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
05.08.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
0
2
L
12.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
7
L
09.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
1
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Chico
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Junior
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
18.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Águilas Doradas
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Millonarios
3
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
3
2
W
Last matches: Deportivo Pasto
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
13.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
3
4
L
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Santa Fe
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Chico
2
0
W
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
2
4
L
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
America de Cali
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Cucuta
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
1
0
W
H2H: Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto
15.02.26
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
L
11.11.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
23.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
2
3
W
08.10.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
26.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
21.09.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
29.03.22
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
09.04.21
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
0
2
W
19.03.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
17.01.21
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
11.03.20
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
1
D
01.03.20
H2H
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
W
Last matches: Internacional de Bogota
05.08.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Jaguares
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
America de Cali
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Chico
4
0
W
13.04.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Junior
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Millonarios
3
2
W
12.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
23.01.26
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Cucuta
2
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
1
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pereira
4
0
W
29.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FC
0
1
L
20.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Cali
0
4
L
31.08.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pri
Internacional de Bogota
Llaneros
2
1
W
H2H at home: Internacional de Bogota
31.08.25
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
11.11.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
21.09.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
28.07.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
19.03.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
11.03.20
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Pasto
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
3
2
W
01.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
25.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
2
4
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
10.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
0
1
L
24.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
0
2
L
13.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
29.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
1
2
L
11.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
1
2
L
H2H away: Deportivo Pasto
31.08.25
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
11.11.24
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
08.10.23
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
L
21.09.22
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
W
28.07.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
19.03.21
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
W
11.03.20
H2H
Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto
1
1
D

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification