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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
14.09.2026 12:00
Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Referee: I. Kherkhadze
Meshakhte
Match Timeline
Rustavi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Shotiko Andghuladze
Rustavi
⚽
45'
L. Parkadze
Rustavi
🔄
46'
S. Andghuladze ↔ N. Chikovani
Rustavi
🔄
59'
I. Sikharulidze ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Meshakhte
🔄
59'
T. Sikalo ↔ T. Patsatsia
Meshakhte
🔄
59'
G. Gegia ↔ S. Chkhetiani
Meshakhte
🔄
61'
L. Parkadze ↔ D. Ubilava
Rustavi
🔄
64'
G. Kantaria ↔ M. Pyrogov
Meshakhte
🔄
70'
Jean ↔ V. Patsatsia
Rustavi
🔄
70'
Y. Nakano ↔ K. Ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
79'
A. Gujabidze ↔ K. Kakashvili
Rustavi
🔄
86'
B. Gabiskiria ↔ G. Jamarauli
Meshakhte
🟨
89'
Lasha Ugrekhelidze
Meshakhte

Meshakhte vs Rustavi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Meshakhte Win 16%
Draw 9.9%
Rustavi Win 74.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Meshakhte0.9
Rustavi1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WWDLW
24 GF / 51 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
40 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
16
2.16
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Meshakhte Meshakhte 29 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 32 matches
Meshakhte Statistic Rustavi
3 Wins 14
10 Draws 9
16 Losses 9
24 Goals For 40
51 Goals Against 32
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 7
2.16 Shots On Goal 3.96
2.4 Total Shots 3.2
3.24 Corners 4.08
41.5% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rustavi's more proactive style and Meshakhte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Meshakhte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Rustavi carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Meshakhte sit 10 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rustavi. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Meshakhte expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Rustavi in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control.

Meshakhte Analysis

With 15 points from 24 games and a place of 10, Meshakhte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 19:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rustavi Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 42 points from 24 games, Rustavi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 30:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Meshakhte won 2 times, Rustavi won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:24 from Meshakhte's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Meshakhte 5-4-1 / Rustavi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Meshakhte wins 2, draws 3, Rustavi wins 9

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 47:36 11 50
W W D W W
2 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
3 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
4 28 13 9 6 45:31 14 48
L W W W D
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 28 10 5 13 41:52 -11 35
W L L L L
8 28 6 11 11 25:40 -15 29
L D L D L
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2