Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 72.9%
Draw 5.7%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna1.29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna
WWDLW
19 GF / 10 GA
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
10 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 19 | Goals For | 9 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.38 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 2 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 2, draws 1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 3
Last matches: Spartak Varna
26.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
7
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
02.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
H2H: Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
21.02.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.04.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
2
W
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
28.04.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
3
1
L
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
Last matches: Spartak Varna
17.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
7
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
07.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
29.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
0
4
L
07.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
1
4
L
24.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
3
0
W
H2H at home: Spartak Varna
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
02.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Napredak
1
0
W
03.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
24.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
03.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
2
D
20.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
30.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
23.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
H2H away: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
W
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
L
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
W
Standings
First League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
W
D
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
Play-offs
Play-offs playoffs
Relegation Playoffs