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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
03.08.2026 18:15
Stadion Spartak
Referee: Nikola Popov, Bulgaria
Spartak Varna
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
D. Valverde
Spartak Varna
🟨
31'
Ivaylo Ivanov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
50'
Damian Yordanov
Spartak Varna
🟨
55'
Efe Ali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
56'
J. Lamy ↔ C. Longville
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
56'
I. Ivanov ↔ M. Trdan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
57'
A. Ivanov ↔ B. Hanne
Spartak Varna
🔄
57'
D. Yordanov ↔ S. Major
Spartak Varna
🔄
57'
G. Trifonov ↔ T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🟨
61'
Andrei Chindriş
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
62'
Christ Longville
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
65'
A. Chindris ↔ M. Petrovic
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
65'
S. Idriz ↔ A. Velev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
74'
P. Umarbaev ↔ A. Aleksandrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
84'
T. Silva ↔ R. Sousa
Spartak Varna
🟨
86'
Angel Granchov
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+6'
Vasco Oliveira
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+5'
Sámuel Major
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+6'
Lucas Ryan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
90+5'
Axel Velev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
90+5'
Jota Lopes ↔ V. Oliveira
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 72.9%
Draw 5.7%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna1.29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WWDLW
19 GF / 10 GA
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
3.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 10 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8 matches
Spartak Varna Statistic Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
19 Goals For 9
10 Goals Against 3
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
5 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 5
9 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 4.5
40.5% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 3 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 3, draws 1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 3

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:4 19 28
W D W W W
2 11 8 3 0 27:9 18 27
W D W W D
3 10 8 2 0 21:7 14 26
W W W D D
4 11 7 1 3 21:13 8 22
L W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 11 5 2 4 15:17 -2 17
L D L L W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 11 1 3 7 11:22 -11 6
L D D L L
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