BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Spartak
Referee: Nikola Popov, Bulgaria
Spartak Varna
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Valverde
Spartak Varna
🟨
31'
Ivaylo Ivanov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
50'
Damian Yordanov
Spartak Varna
🟨
55'
Efe Ali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
56'
J. Lamy ↔ C. Longville
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
56'
I. Ivanov ↔ M. Trdan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
57'
A. Ivanov ↔ B. Hanne
Spartak Varna
🔄
57'
D. Yordanov ↔ S. Major
Spartak Varna
🔄
57'
G. Trifonov ↔ T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🟨
61'
Andrei Chindriş
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
62'
Christ Longville
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
65'
A. Chindris ↔ M. Petrovic
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
65'
S. Idriz ↔ A. Velev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
74'
P. Umarbaev ↔ A. Aleksandrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
84'
T. Silva ↔ R. Sousa
Spartak Varna
🟨
86'
Angel Granchov
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+6'
Vasco Oliveira
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+5'
Sámuel Major
Spartak Varna
🟨
90+6'
Lucas Ryan
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
90+5'
Axel Velev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
90+5'
Jota Lopes ↔ V. Oliveira
Spartak Varna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 72.9%
Draw 5.7%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna1.29
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WWDLW
19 GF / 10 GA
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 10 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8 matches
Spartak Varna Statistic Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
19 Goals For 9
10 Goals Against 3
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
5 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 3 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 3, draws 1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 3

Lineups

Spartak Varna
Formation
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
P. Iliev
P. Iliev
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
A. Granchov
A. Granchov
J. Tshitoku
J. Tshitoku
B. Ivanov
B. Ivanov
D. Yordanov
D. Yordanov
T. Marinov
T. Marinov
A. Ivanov
A. Ivanov
T. Silva
T. Silva
Jota Lopes
Jota Lopes
G. Trifonov
G. Trifonov
B. Milosavljevic
B. Milosavljevic
A. Cova
A. Cova
A. Chindris
A. Chindris
Lucas Ryan
Lucas Ryan
T. Pavlov
T. Pavlov
E. Ali
E. Ali
I. Ivanov
I. Ivanov
S. Idriz
S. Idriz
P. Umarbaev
P. Umarbaev
C. Itu
C. Itu
J. Lamy
J. Lamy
Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
P. Iliev
G
76
D. Valverde
⚽ 8'
M
44
A. Granchov
🟨 86'
D
45
J. Tshitoku
D
4
B. Ivanov
D
8
D. Yordanov
↓ 57' 🟨 50'
M
17
T. Marinov
M
77
A. Ivanov
↓ 57'
F
82
T. Silva
↓ 84'
M
10
Jota Lopes
↓ 90+5'
M
99
G. Trifonov
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
11
B. Hanne
↑ 57'
F
6
R. Sousa
↑ 84'
M
1
P. Victor
G
7
Bua
19
S. Major
↑ 57' 🟨 90+5'
M
21
J. Cuerto
D
72
V. Oliveira
↑ 90+5' 🟨 90+6'
D
9
T. Chunchukov
↑ 57'
F
80
A. Gomes
F
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Milosavljevic
G
2
A. Cova
D
4
A. Chindris
↓ 65' 🟨 61'
D
13
Lucas Ryan
🟨 90+6'
D
5
T. Pavlov
D
12
E. Ali
🟨 55'
M
22
I. Ivanov
↓ 56' 🟨 31'
M
7
S. Idriz
↓ 65'
M
39
P. Umarbaev
↓ 74'
M
94
C. Itu
M
99
J. Lamy
↓ 56'
M
Substitutes
26
D. Kirashki
D
40
P. Zovko
G
31
Y. Dzhelepov
44
M. Petrovic
↑ 65'
9
A. Velev
↑ 65' 🟨 90+5'
F
3
D. Ali
30
A. Aleksandrov
↑ 74'
M
29
C. Longville
↑ 56' 🟨 62'
F
6
M. Trdan
↑ 56'
M
Last matches: Spartak Varna
17.08.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.08.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
3
L
26.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
7
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
16.08.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dunav Ruse
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
26.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
5
L
H2H: Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
03.08.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
21.02.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.04.25
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
2
W
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
28.04.23
H2H
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
3
1
L
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
Last matches: Spartak Varna
17.08.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
7
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
07.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
29.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
0
4
L
07.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
1
4
L
24.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
H2H at home: Spartak Varna
03.08.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
07.08.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
1
L
08.07.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
4
L
12.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
08.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
22.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
02.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Napredak
1
0
W
03.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
23.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
24.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
03.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
2
D
20.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
30.08.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
H2H away: Lokomotiv Plovdiv
03.08.26
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
W
23.10.24
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
L
10.10.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
W