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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
25.07.2026 17:45
Lukoil Arena
Referee: Rafael Shafeev, Russia
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
Rodina Moskva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Marquinhos · Assist: E. Barco
Spartak Moscow
VAR
28'
Artem Maksimenko
Rodina Moskva
🟨
32'
Andrey Egorychev
Rodina Moskva
🟨
39'
Ilya Dyatlov
Rodina Moskva
🔄
54'
A. Egorychev ↔ I. Pozo
Rodina Moskva
🔄
63'
M. Ugalde ↔ C. Martins
Spartak Moscow
🔄
63'
V. Parada ↔ A. Djiku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
63'
G. Fernandes ↔ D. Denisov
Spartak Moscow
🟨
74'
Ivan Timoshenko
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
M. Krizan ↔ L. Musaev
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
I. Dyatlov ↔ L. Goglichidze
Rodina Moskva
🔄
75'
S. Bakaev ↔ M. Abdusalamov
Rodina Moskva
⚽
79'
C. Martins · Assist: A. Djiku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
81'
Marquinhos ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🔄
83'
A. Sokol ↔ S. Bessmertniy
Rodina Moskva
🔄
84'
S. Babic ↔ D. Prutsev
Spartak Moscow
⚽
86'
D. Prutsev · Assist: R. Zobnin
Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 72.7%
Draw 7%
Rodina Moskva Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.69
Rodina Moskva0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 9 matches
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 11 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic Rodina Moskva
6 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
15 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 19
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 2 times, Rodina Moskva won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1 / Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 2, Rodina Moskva 1
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 2, draws 0, Rodina Moskva wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL