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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
09.12.2026 20:00
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.96
Burnley1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
27 GF / 12 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
22 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
12
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 14 matches
Burnley Burnley 17 matches
Southampton Statistic Burnley
9 Wins 1
3 Draws 7
2 Losses 9
27 Goals For 22
12 Goals Against 34
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2
10 BTTS Yes 15
10 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.18
15.18 Total Shots 14.27
5 Corners 4.64
57.6% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 4 times, Burnley won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Southampton's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 4, draws 4, Burnley wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 5 3 3 19:16 3 18
D W L L W
8 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
9 11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 11 4 3 4 14:14 0 15
D W W L D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23 11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One