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ENGLAND › FA CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
FT
2 - 1
Arsenal
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: S. Barrott
Southampton
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Ryan Manning
Southampton
⚽
35'
R. Stewart · Assist: J. Bree
Southampton
🔄
60'
Gabriel Jesus ↔ V. Gyökeres
Arsenal
🔄
60'
M. Lewis-Skelly ↔ R. Calafiori
Arsenal
🔄
61'
M. Odegaard ↔ N. Madueke
Arsenal
⚽
68'
V. Gyokeres · Assist: K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
70'
R. Stewart ↔ C. Larin
Southampton
🔄
71'
L. Scienza ↔ S. Edozie
Southampton
🔄
72'
Gabriel ↔ W. Saliba
Arsenal
🔄
76'
C. Bragg ↔ S. Charles
Southampton
🔄
79'
K. Havertz ↔ M. Zubimendi
Arsenal
⚽
85'
S. Charles · Assist: T. Fellows
Southampton
🟨
89'
Caspar Jander
Southampton
🟨
90+4'
Gabriel Martinelli
Arsenal
🔄
90+7'
R. Manning ↔ J. Quarshie
Southampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.25
Arsenal1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
69 GF / 51 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
97 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.66
29
BTTS Yes
21
24
Over 2.5
25
5.19
Shots on Goal
5.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 42 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 44 matches
Southampton Statistic Arsenal
20 Wins 33
12 Draws 8
10 Losses 3
69 Goals For 97
51 Goals Against 29
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.66
29 BTTS Yes 21
35 Over 1.5 36
24 Over 2.5 25
13 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 22
5 Failed To Score 3
5.19 Shots On Goal 5.64
13.98 Total Shots 15.16
5.55 Corners 5.89
56.1% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 4 times, Arsenal won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:28 from Southampton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Southampton wins 4, draws 4, Arsenal wins 7
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Arsenal Arsenal
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
10
4 Corner Kicks 9
9 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 0
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 10
6 Shots insidebox 14
2 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
304 Total passes 524
240 Passes accurate 466
0.80 expected_goals 2.10
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Arsenal
Formation
Southampton
K. Arrizabalaga
K. Arrizabalaga
B. White
B. White
C. Mosquera
C. Mosquera
Gabriel
↓
Gabriel
M. Lewis-Skelly
↓
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Odegaard
↓
M. Odegaard
C. Norgaard
C. Norgaard
M. Dowman
M. Dowman
K. Havertz
🎯 ↓
K. Havertz
G. Martinelli
G. Martinelli
Gabriel Jesus
↓
Gabriel Jesus
D. Peretz
D. Peretz
J. Bree
🎯
J. Bree
T. Harwood-Bellis
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
N. Wood
R. Manning
↓
R. Manning
C. Bragg
↓
C. Bragg
C. Jander
C. Jander
T. Fellows
🎯
T. Fellows
F. Azaz
F. Azaz
L. Scienza
↓
L. Scienza
R. Stewart
⚽ ↓
R. Stewart
Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
K. Arrizabalaga
G
4
B. White
D
3
C. Mosquera
D
6
Gabriel
↓ 72'
D
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
↓ 60'
D
8
M. Odegaard
↓ 61'
M
16
C. Norgaard
M
56
M. Dowman
M
29
K. Havertz
🎯 68' ↓ 79'
M
11
G. Martinelli
🟨 90+4'
M
9
Gabriel Jesus
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Raya
G
14
V. Gyökeres
⚽ 68' ↑ 60'
F
20
N. Madueke
↑ 61'
F
2
W. Saliba
↑ 72'
D
36
M. Zubimendi
↑ 79'
M
71
A. Harriman-Annous
F
89
M. Salmon
D
33
R. Calafiori
↑ 60'
D
76
C. O'Neill
F
Southampton 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
41
D. Peretz
G
14
J. Bree
🎯 35'
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
15
N. Wood
D
3
R. Manning
↓ 90+7' 🟨 27'
D
48
C. Bragg
↓ 76'
M
20
C. Jander
🟨 89'
M
18
T. Fellows
🎯 85'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
13
L. Scienza
↓ 71'
M
11
R. Stewart
⚽ 35' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Long
G
28
O. Romeu
M
9
C. Larin
↑ 70'
F
24
S. Charles
⚽ 85' ↑ 76'
M
46
J. Robinson
F
49
N. Oyekunle
F
19
C. Archer
F
23
S. Edozie
↑ 71'
M
17
J. Quarshie
↑ 90+7'
D
Last matches: Southampton
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Burnley
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
05.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Fulham
3
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Newcastle
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
15.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
2
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
H2H: Southampton vs Arsenal
04.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
2
L
05.10.24
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
3
1
L
21.04.23
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
3
3
D
23.10.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
1
D
16.04.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
W
11.12.21
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
3
0
L
26.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
3
L
23.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
W
16.12.20
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
1
1
D
25.06.20
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
0
2
L
23.11.19
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
2
2
D
24.02.19
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
2
0
L
16.12.18
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
3
2
W
08.04.18
H2H
Arsenal
Southampton
3
2
L
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Preston
0
2
L
H2H at home: Southampton
04.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
2
L
23.10.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
1
D
16.04.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
W
26.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
3
L
23.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
W
25.06.20
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
0
2
L
16.12.18
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
3
2
W
Last matches: Arsenal
30.05.26
UEF
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Arsenal
West Ham
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Arsenal
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.04.26
UEF
Arsenal
Sporting CP
1
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Arsenal
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Tottenham
4
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Arsenal
Brentford
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Leeds
4
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Arsenal
Inter
3
1
W
17.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
Arsenal
Portsmouth
4
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Arsenal
Bournemouth
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Everton
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Arsenal
Club Brugge KV
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Arsenal
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H away: Arsenal
04.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
2
W
23.10.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
1
D
16.04.22
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
L
26.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
3
W
23.01.21
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
1
0
L
25.06.20
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
0
2
W
16.12.18
H2H
Southampton
Arsenal
3
2
L