BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: F. Fernandes de Lima
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Bruno Alves
Criciuma
🟨
33'
Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🟨
45+1'
Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
60'
Jhonata Robert ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🔄
60'
Nicolas ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
70'
Waguininho · Assist: Marcelo Hermes
Criciuma
🔄
75'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🔄
75'
Wesley Santos ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
75'
Matheus Sales ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Ronald Lopes ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
🔄
89'
Rafael Gava ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
89'
Ze Hugo ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+1'
Waguininho ↔ Ruan Carvalho
Criciuma
🔄
90+1'
Eduardo ↔ Thiaguinho
Criciuma
90'
Vilar · Assist: Kelvin
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.7%
1.40
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 40%
Draw 10.3%
Criciuma Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP0.99
Criciuma1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
27 GF / 22 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
11
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
4
3.55
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 22 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 22 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Criciuma
8 Wins 12
6 Draws 7
8 Losses 3
27 Goals For 24
22 Goals Against 14
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
11 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 4
3.55 Shots On Goal 3.68
11.73 Total Shots 13.23
5.95 Corners 6.23
44.7% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Criciuma. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Botafogo SP sit 13 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 13 with 27 points after 21 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 26:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 3 times, Criciuma won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 3, draws 2, Criciuma wins 5
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Criciuma Criciuma
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 8
6 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
491 Total passes 365
396 Passes accurate 277
1.12 expected_goals 0.30
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
Criciuma
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Gabriel Inocencio
Gabriel Inocencio
Ericson
Ericson
Vilar
Vilar
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Wesley Santos
Wesley Santos
Hygor
Hygor
Airton
Airton
Cesar Martins
Cesar Martins
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
Bruno Alves
Bruno Alves
Waguininho
Waguininho
Eduardo
Eduardo
Ronald Lopes
Ronald Lopes
Marcelo Hermes
🎯
Marcelo Hermes
Jhonata Robert
Jhonata Robert
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Nicolas
Nicolas
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
22
Gabriel Inocencio
3
Ericson
D
4
Vilar
⚽ 90'
D
6
Patrick Brey
D
16
Matheus Sales
↓ 75'
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 89'
M
10
Rafael Gava
↓ 89'
M
23
Wesley Santos
↓ 75'
M
9
Hygor
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
12
Jordan
G
2
Jonathan
D
26
Felipe Vieira
D
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
34
Hebert
D
5
Leandro Maciel
↑ 89'
M
28
Marco Antonio
↑ 89'
M
20
Yuri Felipe
M
29
Thiago Moraes
M
18
Arthur Caike
↑ 75'
F
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 75'
F
7
Kelvin
🎯 90' ↑ 75'
F
Criciuma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
32
Airton
G
37
Cesar Martins
D
3
Rodrigo
D
34
Bruno Alves
🟨 24'
D
13
Waguininho
⚽ 70' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 45+1'
M
5
Eduardo
↓ 90+1'
M
14
Ronald Lopes
↓ 82'
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
🎯 70'
M
10
Jhonata Robert
↓ 60' 🟨 33'
F
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
9
Nicolas
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
73
Kaua Moroso
1
Alisson
G
31
Hiago Alves
M
43
Ruan Carvalho
↑ 90+1'
D
41
Jean Irmer
↑ 82'
M
50
Thiaguinho
↑ 90+1'
M
33
Yuri Tanque
F
77
Diego Goncalves
↑ 60'
F
11
Romarinho
F
88
Caue Santos
↑ 60'
21
Joao Carlos
F
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
3
L
14.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
H2H: Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
20.08.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.04.26
H2H
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
L
16.11.25
H2H
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
2
0
L
24.07.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
2
L
18.11.23
H2H
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
3
0
L
17.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
W
11.09.21
H2H
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
12.07.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
3
1
W
28.09.19
H2H
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
2
0
L
01.06.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
W
Last matches: Botafogo SP
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
20.08.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
24.07.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
2
L
17.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
W
12.07.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
3
1
W
01.06.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
W
Last matches: Criciuma
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
20.08.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
24.07.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
2
W
17.07.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
L
12.07.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
3
1
L
01.06.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.43
Draw 2.87
Home 2.51
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.23
Draw 1.98
Home 3.29
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 1.75 1.69
Over 2.0 1.99
Over 2.25 2.36
Over 2.5 2.73
Over 3.5 5.43
Under 0.5 6.44
Under 1.5 2.58
Under 1.75 2.23
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.62
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.90
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.95
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.20
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.60
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.28
Draw 2.77
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.36
Draw 1.78
Home 3.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.73
Draw 2.11
Home 2.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.90
Over 2.25 2.20
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.04
Over 3.0 4.15
Over 3.25 4.49
Over 3.5 4.85
Over 3.75 6.24
Over 4.0 9.30
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.65
Under 0.75 5.05
Under 1.0 4.50
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.33
Under 1.75 2.06
Under 2.0 1.76
Under 2.25 1.54
Under 2.5 1.46
Under 2.75 1.30
Under 3.0 1.17
Under 3.25 1.13
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.95
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 1.96
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.28
Home 2.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.16
Over 2.5 2.48
Over 2.75 2.95
Over 3.0 3.90
Over 3.5 4.75
Over 4.5 10.00
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.92
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
Promotion
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