Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Kansas City
25 matches
St. Louis City
23 matches
| Sporting Kansas City | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 31 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 2.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.89 | Shots On Goal | 4.63 |
| 9.11 | Total Shots | 14.68 |
| 3.42 | Corners | 6.26 |
| 43.4% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. St. Louis City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 26 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Sporting Kansas City sit 15 with 14 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 18:46, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 18 matches, St. Louis City have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, St. Louis City won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
St. Louis City
Away
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Home
|
25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|