🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
20.08.2026 00:00
Children's Mercy Park
Referee: V. Rivas
Sporting Kansas City
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Zorhan Bassong
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
21'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
45'
Jansen Miller
Sporting Kansas City
45'
E. Lowen
St. Louis City
VAR
55'
Calvin Harris
Sporting Kansas City
55'
C. Harris · Assist: T. Calheira
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
60'
Conrad Wallem
St. Louis City
🔄
62'
E. Lowen ↔ C. Holse
St. Louis City
🔄
62'
S. Becher ↔ A. Matan
St. Louis City
🔄
64'
T. Calheira ↔ S. Suleymanov
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
75'
Z. Bassong ↔ J. Bartlett
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
75'
C. Harris ↔ S. Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
84'
C. Wallem ↔ J. Orozco
St. Louis City
🔄
84'
S. Jeong ↔ P. Ault
St. Louis City
🔄
89'
E. Karic ↔ J. Reid
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sporting Kansas City Win 32.9%
Draw 17.9%
St. Louis City Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Kansas City1.12
St. Louis City1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WWDLW
23 GF / 54 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
31 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.35
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
11
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 25 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 23 matches
Sporting Kansas City Statistic St. Louis City
7 Wins 9
2 Draws 6
16 Losses 8
23 Goals For 31
54 Goals Against 33
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 5
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.63
9.11 Total Shots 14.68
3.42 Corners 6.26
43.4% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St. Louis City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. St. Louis City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 26 points while Sporting Kansas City sit 15 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

Sporting Kansas City sit 15 with 14 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 18:46, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

St. Louis City Analysis

From their first 18 matches, St. Louis City have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, St. Louis City won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Kansas City 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-3
Missing players: Sporting Kansas City 2, St. Louis City 3
H2H summary: Sporting Kansas City wins 4, draws 4, St. Louis City wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)