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15.10.2026 16:45
Red Bull Arena
Referee: Horatiu Fesnic
Red Bull Salzburg
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Alphadjo Cissè · Assist: Omari Hutchinson
AC Milan
🟨
21'
Omari Hutchinson
AC Milan
⚽
32'
Alphadjo Cissè · Assist: Davide Bartesaghi
AC Milan
🟨
40'
Valentin Zabransky
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
49'
Alphadjo Cissè · Assist: Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
60'
Edmund Baidoo ↔ Yorbe Vertessen
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
60'
Sota Kitano ↔ Gaoussou Diakité
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
60'
Alphadjo Cissè ↔ Christian Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
60'
Francesco Camarda ↔ Gonçalo Ramos
AC Milan
🔄
61'
Adrien Rabiot ↔ Luka Modrić
AC Milan
🔄
67'
Fikayo Tomori ↔ Filippo Terracciano
AC Milan
⚽
72'
Gonçalo Ramos
AC Milan
🔄
73'
Haris Tabaković ↔ Aboubacar Sidiki Camara
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
73'
Jesper Lindstrom ↔ Damir Redzic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
81'
Leandro Morgalla ↔ Tim Drexler
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
81'
Strahinja Pavlovic ↔ Sankhoun Diawara
AC Milan
🟥
83'
Filippo Terracciano
AC Milan

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds 3.81
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
3.81 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Red Bull Salzburg Win 62.2%
Draw 3.4%
AC Milan Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Red Bull Salzburg1.91
AC Milan1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WWDLW
59 GF / 22 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
18 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
10
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
6
6.54
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 26 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 11 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Statistic AC Milan
17 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
59 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 15
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
10 BTTS Yes 7
20 Over 1.5 11
16 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
6.54 Shots On Goal 4.43
12.85 Total Shots 13.14
6.85 Corners 4.14
58.4% Ball Possession 60.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 0 times, AC Milan won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Red Bull Salzburg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Red Bull Salzburg 10, AC Milan 4
H2H summary: Red Bull Salzburg wins 0, draws 1, AC Milan wins 1

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 6:0 6 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 7:3 4 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 5:3 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
10 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
11 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
D W
12 2 1 1 0 4:1 3 4
D W
13 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
14 2 1 1 0 1:0 1 4
W D
15 2 1 0 1 6:3 3 3
L W
16 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
W L
18 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
21 2 1 0 1 1:4 -3 3
L W
22 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
23 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
24 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
25 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 1:6 -5 1
D L
28 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
29 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 0:5 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 0:8 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)