TURKEY 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Referee: M. Aldemir
Sivasspor
Match Timeline
Iğdır FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
G. Bruno · Assist: G. Vural
Iğdır FK
🔄
46'
M. Doh ↔ A. K. Guneren
Iğdır FK
49'
A. Appindangoye · Assist: V. Ethemi
Sivasspor
🟨
57'
Gökcan Kaya
Iğdır FK
🟨
58'
Alperen Selvi
Iğdır FK
🔄
63'
S. Asan ↔ A. R. Cankaya
Iğdır FK
🔄
64'
M. Fofana ↔ R. Mendes
Iğdır FK
🟨
68'
Kamil Fidan
Sivasspor
70'
M. Yildirim · Assist: C. Charisis
Sivasspor
🔄
79'
C. Celik ↔ O. Yigiter
Sivasspor
🔄
79'
M. Yildirim ↔ E. Gokay
Sivasspor
🔄
83'
G. Kaya ↔ D. Erdogan
Iğdır FK
🔄
83'
G. Bruno ↔ F. Loshaj
Iğdır FK
🟨
85'
Atakan Çankaya
Iğdır FK
🔄
89'
C. Charisis ↔ K. Kesgin
Sivasspor
🟨
90+3'
Valon Ethemi
Sivasspor
🔄
90+3'
V. Ethemi ↔ S. Ala
Sivasspor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Sivasspor Win 34.9%
Draw 25.4%
Iğdır FK Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sivasspor1.26
Iğdır FK1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sivasspor Sivasspor
WWDLW
42 GF / 41 GA
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
WLDWL
48 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
19
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
18
3.86
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sivasspor Sivasspor 35 matches
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 36 matches
Sivasspor Statistic Iğdır FK
12 Wins 13
11 Draws 10
12 Losses 13
42 Goals For 48
41 Goals Against 49
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
19 BTTS Yes 22
23 Over 1.5 29
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 11
3.86 Shots On Goal 4.22
11.4 Total Shots 11.56
4.8 Corners 5.75
50.1% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Sivasspor's more proactive style and Iğdır FK's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Iğdır FK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sivasspor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Iğdır FK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Iğdır FK having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sivasspor Analysis

Sivasspor sit 10 with 50 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 43:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Boke (8 goals), Cihat Çelik (4 goals), Rey Manaj (4 goals), with creative support from Uğur Çiftçi (3 assists), Murat Paluli (3 assists), Cihat Çelik (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Iğdır FK Analysis

Iğdır FK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 49 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 47:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Bruno (15 goals), F. Koita (7 goals), Valon Ethemi (7 goals), with creative support from Valon Ethemi (7 assists), Gökcan Kaya (6 assists), G. Vural (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sivasspor won 1 times, Iğdır FK won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Sivasspor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Sivasspor 4-3-3 / Iğdır FK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sivasspor wins 1, draws 1, Iğdır FK wins 0
Stats
Sivasspor Sivasspor
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
434 Total passes 393
366 Passes accurate 326
1.22 expected_goals 1.23
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sivasspor
Formation
Iğdır FK
G. Bakirbas
G. Bakirbas
M. Paluli
M. Paluli
A. Appindangoye
A. Appindangoye
M. Celik
M. Celik
U. Ciftci
U. Ciftci
K. Fidan
K. Fidan
M. Yildirim
M. Yildirim
C. Celik
C. Celik
C. Charisis
🎯
C. Charisis
V. Ethemi
🎯
V. Ethemi
J. Okoronkwo
J. Okoronkwo
T. Tepe
T. Tepe
S. Asan
S. Asan
A. Ozturk
A. Ozturk
A. Selvi
A. Selvi
G. Vural
🎯
G. Vural
O. K. Guctekin
O. K. Guctekin
M. Doh
M. Doh
L. Bacuna
L. Bacuna
G. Kaya
G. Kaya
M. Fofana
M. Fofana
G. Bruno
G. Bruno
Sivasspor 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
G. Bakirbas
G
7
M. Paluli
D
2
A. Appindangoye
⚽ 49'
D
20
M. Celik
D
58
U. Ciftci
D
15
K. Fidan
🟨 68'
M
26
M. Yildirim
⚽ 70' ↓ 79'
80
C. Celik
↓ 79'
M
8
C. Charisis
🎯 70' ↓ 89'
M
27
V. Ethemi
🎯 49' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 90+3'
M
10
J. Okoronkwo
F
Substitutes
41
S. Sarman
G
16
A. Erdursun
G
17
K. Kesgin
↑ 89'
M
6
O. Yigiter
↑ 79'
M
95
A. Selvili
D
11
A. Badji
F
19
E. Gokay
↑ 79'
F
92
S. Ala
↑ 90+3'
Iğdır FK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
54
T. Tepe
G
61
S. Asan
↓ 63'
D
5
A. Ozturk
D
4
A. Selvi
🟨 58'
D
77
G. Vural
🎯 11'
D
6
O. K. Guctekin
M
14
M. Doh
↓ 46'
M
8
L. Bacuna
M
58
G. Kaya
↓ 83' 🟨 57'
M
7
M. Fofana
↓ 64'
M
9
G. Bruno
⚽ 11' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
98
M. Akyuz
G
20
R. Mendes
↑ 64'
F
2
R. Yalcin
M
66
A. Yasar
D
21
D. Erdogan
↑ 83'
M
10
F. Loshaj
↑ 83'
M
35
A. R. Cankaya
↑ 63' 🟨 85'
M
3
Tsunami
D
23
A. K. Guneren
↑ 46'
M
15
T. Ergul
M
Last matches: Sivasspor
02.05.26
1.
Sivasspor
Bandırmaspor
0
1
L
19.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
Çorum FK
1
3
L
13.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
1
3
L
09.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
Boluspor
2
1
W
05.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
3
L
21.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Manisa F.K.
1
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
11.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
2
1
W
07.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Keçiörengücü
0
1
L
01.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Serik Spor
1
0
W
23.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Sakaryaspor
4
1
W
19.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Adana Demirspor
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Vanspor FK
3
3
D
07.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Sarıyer
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
25.01.26
1.
Sivasspor
Amed
1
1
D
19.01.26
1.
Sivasspor
Bodrum FK
2
1
W
11.01.26
1.
Sivasspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
L
27.12.25
1.
Sivasspor
Bandırmaspor
2
0
W
20.12.25
1.
Sivasspor
Iğdır FK
1
1
D
Last matches: Iğdır FK
02.05.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Amed
3
3
D
19.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
12.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Adana Demirspor
6
1
W
08.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Çorum FK
0
2
L
16.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Bandırmaspor
0
0
D
12.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Bodrum FK
2
3
L
08.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Boluspor
0
2
L
27.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
İstanbulspor
2
1
W
21.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Esenler Erokspor
0
3
L
17.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Hatayspor
2
0
W
13.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Ümraniyespor
1
1
D
08.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Serik Spor
3
1
W
31.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Manisa F.K.
0
0
D
24.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Vanspor FK
0
3
L
19.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Sakaryaspor
1
0
W
11.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Sarıyer
0
1
L
28.12.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Amed
0
3
L
20.12.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Sivasspor
1
1
D
H2H: Sivasspor vs Iğdır FK
26.04.26
H2H
Sivasspor
Iğdır FK
2
1
W
20.12.25
H2H
Iğdır FK
Sivasspor
1
1
D
Last matches: Sivasspor
13.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
1
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Sivasspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Sivasspor
Keçiörengücü
0
1
L
23.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Sakaryaspor
4
1
W
14.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Vanspor FK
3
3
D
01.02.26
1.
Sivasspor
Pendikspor
0
0
D
25.01.26
1.
Sivasspor
Amed
1
1
D
11.01.26
1.
Sivasspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
L
27.12.25
1.
Sivasspor
Bandırmaspor
2
0
W
13.12.25
1.
Sivasspor
Çorum FK
1
1
D
30.11.25
1.
Sivasspor
Boluspor
1
0
W
08.11.25
1.
Sivasspor
Manisa F.K.
3
2
W
24.10.25
1.
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
Sivasspor
Serik Spor
0
0
D
25.09.25
1.
Sivasspor
Adana Demirspor
5
0
W
13.09.25
1.
Sivasspor
Sarıyer
1
0
W
17.08.25
1.
Sivasspor
Bodrum FK
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sivasspor
26.04.26
H2H
Sivasspor
Iğdır FK
2
1
W
Last matches: Iğdır FK
12.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Adana Demirspor
6
1
W
04.04.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
16.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Bandırmaspor
0
0
D
08.03.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Boluspor
0
2
L
27.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
İstanbulspor
2
1
W
17.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Hatayspor
2
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Serik Spor
3
1
W
24.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Vanspor FK
0
3
L
11.01.26
1.
Iğdır FK
Sarıyer
0
1
L
28.12.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Amed
0
3
L
14.12.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Pendikspor
1
1
D
29.11.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
2
1
W
09.11.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Çorum FK
1
3
L
26.10.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Bodrum FK
0
2
L
27.09.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Esenler Erokspor
3
2
W
19.09.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
30.08.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Manisa F.K.
1
1
D
17.08.25
1.
Iğdır FK
Sakaryaspor
2
3
L
H2H away: Iğdır FK
26.04.26
H2H
Sivasspor
Iğdır FK
2
1
L

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
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Relegation