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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
11.10.2026 11:35
Tiexi Stadium
Referee: Nenad Minaković, Serbia
Shenyang Urban
Match Timeline
Wuhan Three Towns
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Li Haoran
Shenyang Urban
🟨
28'
Jeffinho
Shenyang Urban
🟨
30'
Ming Tian
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
38'
Jhonder Cádiz
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
43'
Ange Kouamé
Shenyang Urban
VAR
45+2'
Ange Kouamé
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Li Haoran ↔ H. Zhang
Shenyang Urban
🟨
61'
Jizheng Xiong
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
62'
Yuan Mincheng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
65'
Felipe ↔ G. Mbenza
Shenyang Urban
🔄
72'
J. Xiong ↔ Long Wei
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
72'
Wang Jinxian ↔ A. Leautey
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
78'
Zhang Xiaobin ↔ Liao Chengjian
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
81'
D. Mawlanniyaz ↔ Gao Jiarun
Shenyang Urban
🟨
84'
Adriano Firmino
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
85'
Chen Binbin
Shenyang Urban
🔄
87'
Ming Tian ↔ Li Shenyuan
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
87'
K. Bevis ↔ Liu Binbin
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
87'
A. Leautey
Wuhan Three Towns

Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 58.7%
Draw 6.1%
Wuhan Three Towns Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.49
Wuhan Three Towns1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
34 GF / 47 GA
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WLDWL
39 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
14
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
14
3.62
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 26 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 26 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Wuhan Three Towns
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 11
15 Losses 10
34 Goals For 39
47 Goals Against 46
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
14 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 5
3.62 Shots On Goal 4.54
11.92 Total Shots 13.77
4.38 Corners 4.88
52.9% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wuhan Three Towns. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shenyang Urban have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Wuhan Three Towns in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wuhan Three Towns having the stronger overall control.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

Shenyang Urban approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 25 points from 26 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 34:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Guy Mbenza (9 goals), Jeffinho (7 goals), Takahiro Kunimoto (5 goals), with creative support from Takahiro Kunimoto (3 assists), Ange Kouamé (3 assists), Binbin Chen (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns sit 15 with 21 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats with a 39:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jhonder Cádiz (14 goals), Gustavo Sauer (5 goals), Kilian Bevis (5 goals), with creative support from Jhonder Cádiz (4 assists), Gustavo Sauer (4 assists), Kilian Bevis (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 3-4-3 / Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 1, draws 1, Wuhan Three Towns wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation