CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 42.5%
Draw 14.9%
Qingdao Youth Island Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.44
Qingdao Youth Island1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WLDWL
24 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
10
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
8
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 18 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 21 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Qingdao Youth Island
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 11
9 Losses 5
25 Goals For 24
30 Goals Against 32
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
10 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.58
12.44 Total Shots 10.58
4.22 Corners 4.16
52.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Qingdao Youth Island in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Youth Island having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Youth Island. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Shenyang Urban have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:30 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Takahiro Kunimoto (1 goals), with creative support from Binbin Chen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 25 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, while the 23:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nelson Luz (1 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, Qingdao Youth Island won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 3-4-3 / Qingdao Youth Island 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 1, draws 1, Qingdao Youth Island wins 3
Last matches: Shenyang Urban
17.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
27.06.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
1
5
L
29.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Hangzhou Greentown
5
0
W
20.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon
2
1
W
16.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
05.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
01.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
0
4
L
26.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
1
L
22.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shanghai Shenhua
1
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Tianjin Teda
3
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
0
3
L
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
17.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
11.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
3
L
04.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
28.06.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
3
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
0
0
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
21.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
H2H: Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Youth Island
11.04.26
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
17.09.23
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
0
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
3
1
L
08.12.22
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
13.11.22
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
0
2
W
Last matches: Shenyang Urban
04.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
27.06.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
1
5
L
29.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
2
W
20.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
05.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
22.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Tianjin Teda
3
0
W
H2H at home: Shenyang Urban
17.09.23
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
0
2
L
08.12.22
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
11.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
FC Rostov
0
2
L
H2H away: Qingdao Youth Island
17.09.23
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
0
2
W
08.12.22
H2H
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
W

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 4 2 39:18 21 43
D D D W W
2 19 7 8 4 23:21 2 29
D D L W L
3 18 9 1 8 28:32 -4 28
W W L L W
4 19 7 4 8 36:35 1 25
D L W L D
5 19 5 10 4 23:29 -6 25
D L W W D
6 19 9 3 7 35:34 1 24
L W L W L
7 18 7 6 5 30:24 6 22
D W W W L
8 19 7 5 7 27:32 -5 21
D W L L W
9 18 6 3 9 25:30 -5 21
D W L W W
10 18 6 2 10 25:31 -6 20
W L L W W
11 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L
12 18 7 3 8 23:23 0 18
W L L L W
13 18 5 6 7 28:26 2 16
D L W L D
14 19 6 3 10 30:36 -6 14
L L D W L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One