WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Referee: Anthony Taylor, England
SC Braga
Match Timeline
SC Freiburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. E. Tiknaz · Assist: V. Gomez
SC Braga
🟨
16'
Vítor Carvalho
SC Braga
16'
V. Grifo · Assist: J. Beste
SC Freiburg
🟨
18'
Vincenzo Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
26'
R. Horta ↔ M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
VAR
45'
Gustaf Lagerbielke
SC Braga
🟨
45+1'
Philipp Lienhart
SC Freiburg
🟨
57'
Victor Gómez
SC Braga
🟨
72'
Jordy Makengo
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
R. Zalazar ↔ F. Navarro
SC Braga
🔄
81'
Y. Suzuki ↔ L. Holer
SC Freiburg
🔄
81'
V. Grifo ↔ D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
90'
M. Dorgeles
SC Braga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Braga Win 42.9%
Draw 17.8%
SC Freiburg Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Braga1.69
SC Freiburg1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Braga SC Braga
WWDLW
93 GF / 43 GA
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WLDWL
65 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.51
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
22
BTTS Yes
23
27
Over 2.5
25
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Braga SC Braga 49 matches
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 43 matches
SC Braga Statistic SC Freiburg
28 Wins 20
12 Draws 9
9 Losses 14
93 Goals For 65
43 Goals Against 59
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
22 BTTS Yes 23
35 Over 1.5 32
27 Over 2.5 25
16 Over 3.5 14
23 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 12
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.53
10.47 Total Shots 12.81
4.67 Corners 4.44
54.7% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. SC Braga appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward SC Freiburg. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Braga expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Freiburg having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SC Freiburg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

SC Braga Analysis

SC Braga come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 17 points from 8 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 11:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on R. Zalazar (6 goals), G. Martinez (5 goals), Fran Navarro (4 goals), with creative support from R. Horta (5 assists), R. Zalazar (2 assists), S. Vidigal (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Barisic, Vitor Carvalho, S. Niakate, Gabriel Moscardo unavailable.

SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg come into this tie placed 7 in their league with 17 points from 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:4 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by V. Grifo (4 goals), Y. Suzuki (4 goals), I. Matanovic (3 goals), with creative support from V. Grifo (3 assists), J. Beste (3 assists), Y. Suzuki (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Makengo, P. Osterhage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 1 times, SC Freiburg won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from SC Braga's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: SC Braga 3-4-1-2 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: SC Braga 7, SC Freiburg 2
H2H summary: SC Braga wins 1, draws 0, SC Freiburg wins 1
Stats
SC Braga SC Braga
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
495 Total passes 347
425 Passes accurate 279
2.39 expected_goals 1.31
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Braga
Formation
SC Freiburg
L. Hornicek
L. Hornicek
V. Gomez
🎯
V. Gomez
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
P. Oliveira
P. Oliveira
Vitor Carvalho
Vitor Carvalho
Gorby
Gorby
J. Moutinho
J. Moutinho
D. E. Tiknaz
D. E. Tiknaz
R. Zalazar
R. Zalazar
R. Horta
R. Horta
P. Victor
P. Victor
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
P. Treu
P. Treu
M. Ginter
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
J. Beste
🎯
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
V. Grifo
V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
I. Matanovic
SC Braga 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hornicek
G
2
V. Gomez
🎯 8' 🟨 57'
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
15
P. Oliveira
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
🟨 16'
D
29
Gorby
M
8
J. Moutinho
M
34
D. E. Tiknaz
⚽ 8'
M
10
R. Zalazar
↓ 72'
M
21
R. Horta
↓ 26'
M
18
P. Victor
F
Substitutes
12
T. Sa
G
36
A. Bellaarouch
G
5
L. Lelo
D
53
J. Noro
41
Y. da Rocha
M
70
R. Mordomo
80
Vasconcelos
M
20
M. Dorgeles
⚽ 90' ↑ 26'
M
39
F. Navarro
↑ 72'
F
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
96
A. Sousa
90
Luisinho
M
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Atubolu
G
29
P. Treu
D
28
M. Ginter
D
3
P. Lienhart
🟨 45+1'
D
33
J. Makengo
🟨 72'
D
8
M. Eggestein
M
44
J. Manzambi
M
19
J. Beste
🎯 16'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
↓ 81'
M
32
V. Grifo
⚽ 16' ↓ 81' 🟨 18'
M
31
I. Matanovic
F
Substitutes
21
F. Muller
G
24
J. Huth
G
27
N. Hofler
M
17
L. Kubler
D
9
L. Holer
↑ 81'
F
26
M. Philipp
F
43
B. Ogbus
D
30
C. Gunter
D
5
A. Jung
D
7
D. Scherhant
↑ 81'
F
22
C. Irie
F
69
R. Tarnutzer
M
Last matches: SC Braga
22.07.26
UEF
SC Braga
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Vizela
5
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Stoke City
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
Last matches: SC Freiburg
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
10.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
22.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
01.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
H2H: SC Braga vs SC Freiburg
07.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
L
30.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
Last matches: SC Braga
18.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Guimaraes
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Rio Ave
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Alverca
5
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Braga
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
15.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
SC Braga
Genk
3
4
L
26.10.25
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Braga
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
H2H at home: SC Braga
30.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
Last matches: SC Freiburg
10.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
26.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
16.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
22.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
01.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Lille
0
1
L
18.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC Augsburg
2
2
D
14.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
2
L
20.12.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
4
3
W
06.12.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Plzen
0
0
D
22.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
6
L
06.11.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Nice
3
1
W
01.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
0
D
26.10.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
05.10.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
0
D
H2H away: SC Freiburg
30.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
L

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:5 13 21
W W W W L
2 8 7 0 1 14:6 8 21
W W W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W L W W W
5 8 5 2 1 13:7 6 17
W D W W D
6 8 5 2 1 11:5 6 17
D W W D L
7 8 5 2 1 10:4 6 17
L W W D W
8 8 5 1 2 13:6 7 16
D W W W W
9 8 5 1 2 11:7 4 16
W W L W W
10 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W D W W D
11 8 5 0 3 15:9 6 15
W L W W W
12 8 4 3 1 12:11 1 15
L D W D W
13 8 4 2 2 15:7 8 14
W L W W D
14 8 3 5 0 8:3 5 14
W D D D D
15 8 4 2 2 7:6 1 14
D W W W W
16 8 4 1 3 15:11 4 13
D W L L W
17 8 3 3 2 17:14 3 12
L W D D W
18 8 4 0 4 12:9 3 12
W L L W L
19 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
D L W D D
20 8 3 3 2 11:9 2 12
D D D W W
21 8 3 2 3 13:15 -2 11
W D L W L
22 8 3 1 4 12:15 -3 10
W L D W L
23 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
L W L L L
24 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L D L D D
25 8 3 0 5 10:16 -6 9
L L W L L
26 8 2 1 5 5:11 -6 7
W L L L D
27 8 2 1 5 9:16 -7 7
D L W L L
28 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
D L L L L
29 8 2 0 6 11:15 -4 6
L W L L L
30 8 2 0 6 9:13 -4 6
L L L L W
31 8 2 0 6 10:15 -5 6
L W L L W
32 8 1 1 6 5:14 -9 4
L W L D L
33 8 1 0 7 7:15 -8 3
L W L L L
34 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L L D
35 8 0 1 7 4:15 -11 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 2:22 -20 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

SC Braga 7 missing
-
A. Barisic
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Vitor Carvalho
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
S. Niakate
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
D. Rodrigues
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Gabriel Moscardo
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
B. Arrey-Mbi
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
F. Grillitsch
Questionable Injury
OUT
SC Freiburg 2 missing
-
J. Makengo
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
P. Osterhage
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT