SC Braga vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SC Braga
49 matches
SC Freiburg
43 matches
| SC Braga | Statistic | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 20 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 93 | Goals For | 65 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 23 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 10.47 | Total Shots | 12.81 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. SC Braga appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward SC Freiburg. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Braga expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Freiburg having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SC Freiburg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
SC Braga come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 17 points from 8 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 11:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on R. Zalazar (6 goals), G. Martinez (5 goals), Fran Navarro (4 goals), with creative support from R. Horta (5 assists), R. Zalazar (2 assists), S. Vidigal (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Barisic, Vitor Carvalho, S. Niakate, Gabriel Moscardo unavailable.
SC Freiburg come into this tie placed 7 in their league with 17 points from 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:4 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by V. Grifo (4 goals), Y. Suzuki (4 goals), I. Matanovic (3 goals), with creative support from V. Grifo (3 assists), J. Beste (3 assists), Y. Suzuki (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Makengo, P. Osterhage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 1 times, SC Freiburg won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from SC Braga's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
SC Braga
Home
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Away
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 32 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | -20 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|