Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Carabobo FC Win 79.2%
Draw 12.9%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 7.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carabobo FC1.41
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WWDLW
44 GF / 26 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
15
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 30 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 25 matches
Carabobo FC Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
13 Wins 10
11 Draws 4
6 Losses 11
44 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 33
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
15 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 0
13.75 Total Shots 0
5 Corners 0
44% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control.

Carabobo FC Analysis

Carabobo FC sit 7 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 23:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Estudiantes de Merida FC have collected 20 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Carabobo FC won 8 times, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from Carabobo FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Carabobo FC wins 8, draws 5, Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2