16.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Eva Peron
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo
Sarmiento Junin
Match Timeline
Huracan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
L. Gil ↔ O. Romero
Huracan
30'
J. Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
VAR
39'
Elián Giménez
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
44'
Rodrigo Fernández
Huracan
🟨
45+2'
Julián Mavilla
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
46'
F. Kalinger ↔ I. Pussetto
Huracan
🟨
50'
Julian Contrera
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
50'
Oscar Cortés
Huracan
🟨
55'
Juan Bisanz
Huracan
🔄
57'
J. Bisanz ↔ T. Peralta
Huracan
🟥
66'
Jordy Caicedo
Huracan
🔄
73'
L. Blondel ↔ I. Campo
Huracan
🔄
73'
O. Cortes ↔ L. Mora
Huracan
🔄
75'
J. Contrera ↔ U. Gimenez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
75'
J. Mavilla ↔ G. Gonzalez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
80'
J. Marabel ↔ P. Magnin
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
80'
J. Herrera ↔ Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
86'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Gonzalez
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
90+1'
Óscar Romero
Huracan
🔄
90'
E. Gimenez ↔ A. Nadruz
Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.9%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 39.9%
Draw 21%
Huracan Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin0.94
Huracan1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
22 GF / 30 GA
Huracan Huracan
WLDWL
27 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
10
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 22 matches
Huracan Huracan 25 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic Huracan
9 Wins 9
1 Draws 9
12 Losses 7
22 Goals For 27
30 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 8
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.14
10.15 Total Shots 11.73
3.7 Corners 3.91
47.1% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Huracan's more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Huracan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Huracan in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huracan having the stronger overall control. Sarmiento Junin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Junior Marabel (5 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Huracan Analysis

Huracan sit 7 with 22 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jordy Caicedo (3 goals), Óscar Romero (2 goals), Leonardo Gil (1 goals), with creative support from Leonardo Gil (2 assists), Oscar Cortés (1 assists), Juan Bisanz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 3 times, Huracan won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / Huracan 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 3, draws 5, Huracan wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase