Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sarmiento Junin
23 matches
Estudiantes L.P.
32 matches
| Sarmiento Junin | Statistic | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 16 |
| 1 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 43 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.59 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 5.03 |
| 10.52 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 4.43 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Estudiantes L.P.. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes L.P. having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Estudiantes L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Sarmiento Junin sit 11 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Junior Marabel (5 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Estudiantes L.P. sit 1 with 31 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 19:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 3 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Home
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
D
D
|