Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.6%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.74 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.38 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sarmiento Junin
23 matches
Estudiantes L.P.
32 matches
| Sarmiento Junin | Statistic | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 16 |
| 1 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 43 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.59 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 4.97 |
| 10.52 | Total Shots | 13.9 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Estudiantes L.P.. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes L.P. having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Estudiantes L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Sarmiento Junin sit 11 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 11, Sarmiento Junin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Junior Marabel (5 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Estudiantes L.P. sit 1 with 31 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 19:7, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Mikel Amondarain (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 3 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Sarmiento Junin
6
6
5
9
0
4
Lineups
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Atletico Tucuman
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
Tristan Suarez
Sarmiento Junin
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
Racing Club
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Atletico Tucuman
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Sarmiento Junin
Colegiales
Sarmiento Junin
Sportivo Italiano
Sarmiento Junin
Flandria
Sarmiento Junin
Los Andes
Sarmiento Junin
Brown DE Adrogue
Sarmiento Junin
Deportivo Armenio
Sarmiento Junin
Villa San Carlos
Estudiantes L.P.
U. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sarmiento Junin
Home
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
D
L
L
D
L
|