Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.24
Fluminense1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
Fluminense
WLDWL
44 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
10
BTTS Yes
19
7
Over 2.5
14
4.11
Shots on Goal
5.48
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
18 matches
Fluminense
27 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 44 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 15.08 |
| 6.56 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 60.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Fluminense won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 2, Fluminense wins 7
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Fluminense
17.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
16.05.26
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
27.11.25
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
6
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
13.05.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
1
W
23.11.23
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
01.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
0
W
05.11.22
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
3
1
L
17.07.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
2
D
12.09.21
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
30.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
0
D
27.12.20
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
06.09.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
W
07.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
2
L
27.07.19
H2H
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
27.07.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
W
13.05.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
1
W
01.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
0
W
17.07.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
2
D
30.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
0
D
06.09.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
W
07.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
2
L
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
27.07.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
L
13.05.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
1
L
01.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
0
L
17.07.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
2
2
D
30.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
0
D
06.09.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
3
1
L
07.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
0
2
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B