BRAZIL › SERIE A
18.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Do MorumBIS

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.19
Fluminense1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
32 GF / 30 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
63 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
15
BTTS Yes
28
10
Over 2.5
20
4.07
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 40 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic Fluminense
10 Wins 18
6 Draws 13
11 Losses 9
32 Goals For 63
30 Goals Against 47
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
15 BTTS Yes 28
20 Over 1.5 33
10 Over 2.5 20
3 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 6
4.07 Shots On Goal 5.29
12.89 Total Shots 14.08
6.56 Corners 4.92
53.5% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Fluminense won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 2, Fluminense wins 7

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B