Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.1
Corinthians1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
31 GF / 28 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
36 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
15
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
9
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.79
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
25 matches
Corinthians
34 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 12 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 31 | Goals For | 36 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 12.96 | Total Shots | 12.03 |
| 6.33 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 55.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Corinthians won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 5, Corinthians wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50:21 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Corinthians
Away
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B