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BRAZIL › SERIE A
22.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Santos Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos1.48
Gremio1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Santos
WWDLW
49 GF / 45 GA
Gremio Gremio
WLDWL
38 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
22
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
16
4.03
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Santos 31 matches
Gremio Gremio 33 matches
Santos Statistic Gremio
12 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
10 Losses 14
49 Goals For 38
45 Goals Against 44
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
22 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 10
4.03 Shots On Goal 3.7
13.3 Total Shots 11.5
5.27 Corners 4.2
49.5% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, Gremio won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Santos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Santos 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Santos wins 5, draws 5, Gremio wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 30 14 6 10 46:44 2 48
L W W L W
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 7 12 38:35 3 40
W D L L D
10 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
11 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B