Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Santos Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos1.43
Gremio1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
27 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
11
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
20 matches
Gremio
22 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 30 | Goals For | 27 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.63 |
| 12.32 | Total Shots | 11.21 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, Gremio won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Santos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Santos 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Santos wins 5, draws 5, Gremio wins 5
Last matches: Santos
16.07.26
Ser
Santos
Botafogo
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Santos
União São João
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Santos
Vitoria
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Santos
Gremio
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Santos
Coritiba
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Santos
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santos
Palmeiras
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Santos
Bahia
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Santos
Fluminense
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Santos
Flamengo
1
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
Santos
Remo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Santos
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Santos
Internacional
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Santos
Corinthians
1
1
D
11.03.26
Ser
Santos
Mirassol
2
2
D
26.02.26
Ser
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Santos
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
2
4
L
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
H2H: Santos vs Gremio
23.05.26
H2H
Gremio
Santos
3
2
L
02.10.25
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
1
D
04.05.25
H2H
Gremio
Santos
1
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
W
16.04.23
H2H
Gremio
Santos
1
0
L
10.10.21
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
0
W
25.06.21
H2H
Gremio
Santos
2
2
D
03.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Santos
3
3
D
16.12.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
4
1
W
09.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Santos
1
1
D
11.10.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
W
22.09.19
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
3
L
28.04.19
H2H
Gremio
Santos
1
2
W
06.09.18
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
0
D
06.05.18
H2H
Gremio
Santos
5
1
L
Last matches: Santos
04.07.26
Fri
Santos
União São João
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Santos
Vitoria
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Santos
Coritiba
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Santos
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Santos
Fluminense
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santos
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Santos
Remo
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Santos
Internacional
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Santos
Corinthians
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
04.02.26
Ser
Santos
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Santos
02.10.25
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
W
10.10.21
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
0
W
16.12.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
4
1
W
11.10.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
W
22.09.19
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
3
L
06.09.18
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
02.10.25
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
L
10.10.21
H2H
Santos
Gremio
1
0
L
16.12.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
4
1
L
11.10.20
H2H
Santos
Gremio
2
1
L
22.09.19
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
3
W
06.09.18
H2H
Santos
Gremio
0
0
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Away
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B