Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.1%
|
- |
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Lorenzo
14 matches
Velez Sarsfield
14 matches
| San Lorenzo | Statistic | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 9.15 | Total Shots | 11.38 |
| 3.77 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Velez Sarsfield. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Velez Sarsfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Velez Sarsfield having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Velez Sarsfield carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 141 points while San Lorenzo sit 16 on 114, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
San Lorenzo sit 16 with 114 points after 86 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a 0:0 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Cuello (4 goals), G. Rodriguez (2 goals), L. Vietto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Cuello (3 assists), Facundo Gulli (2 assists), M. De Ritis (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Velez Sarsfield arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 141 points after 86 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Florián Monzón (3 goals), M. Lanzini (3 goals), M. Pellegrini (3 goals), with creative support from D. Godoy (3 assists), D. Valdes (3 assists), M. Pellegrini (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 5 times, Velez Sarsfield won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.46 goals per game.
San Lorenzo
5
3
6
5
1
2
Lineups
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
Away
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Home
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|