COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
25.08.2026 20:30
Popayan
Match Timeline
Bogota FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
H. Sandoval Lasso
Bogota FC
29'
J. Cuero
Popayan
🟨
35'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🔄
46'
J. Salcedo ↔ P. Urrutia
Popayan
🔄
60'
D. Estupinan ↔ J. Arango
Bogota FC
🔄
63'
H. Sandoval Lasso ↔ J. Perez
Bogota FC
🔄
63'
C. Asprilla ↔ N. Segura
Bogota FC
63'
K. Castro
Bogota FC
🔄
64'
L. Perez ↔ W. Arango
Popayan
🔄
64'
J. Cuero ↔ D. Cortes
Popayan
🔄
77'
↔ M. Lucumi
Popayan
🔄
82'
K. Castro ↔ J. Velasco
Bogota FC
🔄
82'
K. Aladesanmi ↔ R. Vanegas
Bogota FC
🟨
83'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
87'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
90+1'
Popayan
Popayan

Popayan vs Bogota FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.5%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 33.5%
Draw 23%
Bogota FC Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan0.98
Bogota FC0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
10
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 18 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 26 matches
Popayan Statistic Bogota FC
3 Wins 7
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 10
17 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 27
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
10 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bogota FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan sit 13 with 17 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 17:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bogota FC Analysis

So far, Bogota FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 30 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 20:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 3 times, Bogota FC won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Popayan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 3, draws 1, Bogota FC wins 10

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)