Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Lorenzo
16 matches
Independiente
16 matches
| San Lorenzo | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 18 | Goals For | 26 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 9.4 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Independiente in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
San Lorenzo sit 15 with 118 points after 88 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a 0:0 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Cuello (4 goals), G. Rodriguez (2 goals), L. Vietto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Cuello (3 assists), Facundo Gulli (2 assists), M. De Ritis (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Independiente sit 10 with 131 points after 88 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Avalos (9 goals), M. Abaldo (4 goals), I. Malcorra (1 goals), with creative support from G. Avalos (5 assists), I. Malcorra (3 assists), S. Arias (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 3 times, Independiente won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
San Lorenzo
7
5
11
3
7
5
Lineups
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Home
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|