LITHUANIA A LYGA
24.08.2026 15:45
FK TransINVEST stadium
Referee: D. Svegzda
TransINVEST Vilnius
Match Timeline
Šiauliai
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
D. Barauskas
TransINVEST Vilnius
🟨
39'
D. Jarasius
Šiauliai
🔄
46'
D. Dovydaitis ↔ P. Pranckus
Šiauliai
🟥
57'
P. Pranckus
Šiauliai
74'
A. Traore · Assist: Xabi Auzmendi
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
76'
S. Milosevic ↔ C. Nwoga
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
76'
A. Traore ↔ T. Mavretic
TransINVEST Vilnius
77'
D. Ikaunieks · Assist: D. Ikaunieks
Šiauliai
🔄
80'
A. Baftalovskyi ↔ A. Valuckas
Šiauliai
🔄
80'
D. Naah ↔ K. Zebrauskas
Šiauliai
🔄
82'
M. Musolitin ↔ N. Akosah-Bempah
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
82'
Xabi Auzmendi ↔ D. Sluta
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
84'
D. Ikaunieks ↔ U. Vaitiekaitis
Šiauliai
🔄
84'
M. Dapkus ↔ G. Micevicius
Šiauliai
🔄
86'
Y. Glushach ↔ H. Tanaka
TransINVEST Vilnius
🟨
89'
D. Hasanovic
Šiauliai
90'
N. Akosah-Bempah · Assist: D. Bosnjak
TransINVEST Vilnius

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
TransINVEST Vilnius Win 78.5%
Draw 7.7%
Šiauliai Win 13.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
TransINVEST Vilnius1.83
Šiauliai1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius
WWDLW
60 GF / 45 GA
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WLDWL
33 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
20
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 34 matches
Šiauliai Šiauliai 32 matches
TransINVEST Vilnius Statistic Šiauliai
15 Wins 6
7 Draws 9
12 Losses 17
60 Goals For 33
45 Goals Against 62
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
20 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 25
23 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by TransINVEST Vilnius's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Šiauliai. TransINVEST Vilnius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 36 points compared to Šiauliai in 9 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Šiauliai arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Šiauliai having the stronger overall control.

TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis

Placed 5 with 36 points from 24 outings, TransINVEST Vilnius continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 33:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Šiauliai Analysis

Šiauliai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 22:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, TransINVEST Vilnius won 6 times, Šiauliai won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from TransINVEST Vilnius's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: TransINVEST Vilnius 3-4-2-1 / Šiauliai -
H2H summary: TransINVEST Vilnius wins 6, draws 1, Šiauliai wins 2

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L