09.08.2026 18:00
Pedro Bidegain
Referee: Dario Herrera, Argentina
San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Huracan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Mathias de Ritis
San Lorenzo
🟨
20'
Lucas Carrizo
Huracan
45'
J. Caicedo
Huracan
🔄
46'
M. De Ritis ↔ T. Rodriguez Pagano
San Lorenzo
🔄
53'
F. Gulli ↔ G. del Prete
San Lorenzo
🔄
53'
M. Rio ↔ J. Rattalino
San Lorenzo
🟨
57'
Orlando Gill
San Lorenzo
🟨
57'
Jordy Caicedo
Huracan
57'
J. Caicedo · Assist: F. Kalinger
Huracan
VAR
60'
Orlando Gill
San Lorenzo
🟥
62'
Orlando Gill
San Lorenzo
🔄
63'
N. Blanco ↔ J. Devecchi
San Lorenzo
🔄
66'
J. Caicedo ↔ I. Pussetto
Huracan
🟨
77'
Ignacio Pussetto
Huracan
🔄
78'
F. Kalinger ↔ L. Mora
Huracan
🟨
90'
Rodrigo Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
🔄
90'
O. Cortes ↔ O. Romero
Huracan

San Lorenzo vs Huracan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Lorenzo Win 51.6%
Draw 18.9%
Huracan Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Lorenzo0.95
Huracan0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Huracan Huracan
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
8
BTTS Yes
12
4
Over 2.5
9
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 22 matches
Huracan Huracan 24 matches
San Lorenzo Statistic Huracan
7 Wins 8
9 Draws 9
6 Losses 7
22 Goals For 25
18 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
8 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.1
10.55 Total Shots 11.62
3.85 Corners 3.9
49.6% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Huracan's more proactive style and San Lorenzo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Huracan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:14, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Auzmendi (3 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), Alexis Cuello (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Matias Reali (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Huracan Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Huracan have collected 22 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jordy Caicedo (3 goals), Óscar Romero (2 goals), Leonardo Gil (1 goals), with creative support from Leonardo Gil (2 assists), Oscar Cortés (1 assists), Juan Bisanz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 1 times, Huracan won 5 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: San Lorenzo 4-4-2 / Huracan 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Lorenzo wins 1, draws 9, Huracan wins 5

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 4 5 0 12:7 5 17
D W D D D
2 9 5 2 2 11:9 2 17
W L W W D
3 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
L D W W W
4 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
L W D W W
5 9 3 5 1 12:11 1 14
W D W D D
6 9 4 2 3 8:7 1 14
D W L D W
7 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W W W L
8 9 3 4 2 10:8 2 13
D D D W W
9 9 3 2 4 4:6 -2 11
D W L D W
10 9 3 1 5 9:9 0 10
W L D L W
11 8 3 1 4 8:8 0 10
W L D L W
12 8 2 3 3 8:7 1 9
D D D L W
13 9 2 3 4 9:14 -5 9
L D L W D
14 9 2 2 5 10:14 -4 8
W L D D L
15 9 2 1 6 5:11 -6 7
L L D L L
Knockout Phase