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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
30.08.2026 18:30
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: Y. Kol
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Fenerbahçe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
V. Muriqi · Assist: O. Aydin
Fenerbahçe
🔄
16'
F. Kaya ↔ A. Sekongo
Samsunspor
🔄
46'
T. Borevkovic ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
⚽
49'
O. Aydin · Assist: I. Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
🔄
63'
V. Muriqi ↔ R. Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
64'
M. Greenwood ↔ I. Yuksek
Fenerbahçe
🔄
66'
Y. Kayan ↔ A. Sousa
Samsunspor
🟨
70'
Romelu Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
78'
I. Kahveci ↔ D. Nene
Fenerbahçe
🔄
86'
C. Yuksel ↔ S. Onur
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
S. Jarju ↔ T. Bulbul
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
O. Aydin ↔ L. Mercan
Fenerbahçe
🔄
86'
M. Guendouzi ↔ B. Elmaz
Fenerbahçe

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 46.8%
Draw 12.1%
Fenerbahçe Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.15
Fenerbahçe1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
24 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 7 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 11 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Fenerbahçe
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 24
10 Goals Against 8
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 7
13.5 Total Shots 16.5
2.5 Corners 6.88
54.5% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 1 times, Fenerbahçe won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Samsunspor's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Samsunspor 8, Fenerbahçe 5
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 1, draws 5, Fenerbahçe wins 4

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 7 5 0 2 16:8 8 15
W L W W W
3 7 4 2 1 17:9 8 14
D W W D W
4 7 4 1 2 19:6 13 13
W W D L W
5 7 4 1 2 16:5 11 13
W W L W L
6 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W D W L
7 7 4 0 3 8:6 2 12
L W L W W
8 7 3 1 3 16:12 4 10
W L W W L
9 7 2 4 1 8:8 0 10
L D W D D
10 7 3 1 3 7:9 -2 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
D W L L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:10 -3 8
L L D W L
13 7 2 2 3 7:15 -8 8
D L L L D
14 7 2 2 3 3:11 -8 8
D W L W D
15 7 1 3 3 15:15 0 6
W D D L L
16 7 1 2 4 4:8 -4 5
D D W L L
17 7 1 1 5 6:15 -9 4
L L L L L
18 7 1 0 6 2:20 -18 3
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig