TURKEY SüPER LIG
30.08.2026 18:30
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: Yasin Kol, Türkiye
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Fenerbahçe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
V. Muriqi · Assist: O. Aydin
Fenerbahçe
🔄
16'
F. Kaya ↔ A. Sekongo
Samsunspor
🔄
46'
T. Borevkovic ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
49'
O. Aydin · Assist: I. Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
🔄
63'
V. Muriqi ↔ R. Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
64'
M. Greenwood ↔ I. Yuksek
Fenerbahçe
🔄
66'
Y. Kayan ↔ A. Sousa
Samsunspor
🟨
70'
Romelu Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
78'
I. Kahveci ↔ D. Nene
Fenerbahçe
🔄
86'
C. Yuksel ↔ S. Onur
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
S. Jarju ↔ T. Bulbul
Samsunspor
🔄
86'
O. Aydin ↔ L. Mercan
Fenerbahçe
🔄
86'
M. Guendouzi ↔ B. Elmaz
Fenerbahçe

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.9%
1.22
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
8.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 46.8%
Draw 12.1%
Fenerbahçe Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.15
Fenerbahçe1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
24 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 7 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 11 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Fenerbahçe
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 24
10 Goals Against 8
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 7
13.5 Total Shots 16.5
2.5 Corners 6.88
54.5% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 1 times, Fenerbahçe won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Samsunspor's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Samsunspor 8, Fenerbahçe 5
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 1, draws 5, Fenerbahçe wins 4

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 15:7 8 13
W W D W L
2 6 4 1 1 13:10 3 13
L W W W W
3 6 4 0 2 14:7 7 12
L W W W L
4 6 4 0 2 7:4 3 12
W L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W D W L W
6 6 3 1 2 16:6 10 10
W D L W W
7 6 3 1 2 13:5 8 10
W L W L W
8 6 2 4 0 7:5 2 10
D W D D W
9 6 3 1 2 7:6 1 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
L D W L W
11 6 2 1 3 13:12 1 7
L W W L L
12 6 2 1 3 10:11 -1 7
W L L D L
13 6 2 1 3 5:13 -8 7
L L L D W
14 6 2 1 3 3:11 -8 7
W L W D L
15 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D W L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L W
17 6 0 3 3 11:15 -4 3
D D L L L
18 6 1 0 5 2:16 -14 3
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig