TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: G. Hasova
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Beşiktaş
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Lubomir Satka
Samsunspor
🟨
41'
Antoine Makoumbou
Samsunspor
50'
C. Holse · Assist: O. Ntcham
Samsunspor
56'
T. Coulibaly · Assist: E. Kilinc
Samsunspor
🟨
65'
Amir Murillo
Beşiktaş
🔄
65'
C. Under ↔ V. Cerny
Beşiktaş
🔄
65'
E. B. Toure ↔ Jota Silva
Beşiktaş
🟨
70'
Emre Kilinc
Samsunspor
🔄
72'
Marius ↔ C. Ndiaye
Samsunspor
🔄
72'
Z. Yavru ↔ J. Mendes
Samsunspor
🔄
77'
O. Kokcu ↔ M. Rashica
Beşiktaş
🔄
82'
O. Ntcham ↔ Y. Kayan
Samsunspor
🔄
82'
T. Coulibaly ↔ A. Sousa
Samsunspor
🟨
88'
Rick Van Drongelen
Samsunspor
🟨
88'
Ersin Destanoğlu
Beşiktaş
🔄
88'
Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↔ M. Hekimoglu
Beşiktaş
🔄
89'
A. Makoumbou ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
🟨
90+3'
Yalçın Kayan
Samsunspor
90'
K. Asllani
Beşiktaş

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 29.3%
Draw 19.8%
Beşiktaş Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.26
Beşiktaş1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
52 GF / 51 GA
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
WLDWL
63 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
22
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
20
3.95
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 42 matches
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 35 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Beşiktaş
15 Wins 18
14 Draws 8
13 Losses 9
52 Goals For 63
51 Goals Against 45
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
22 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 29
21 Over 2.5 20
12 Over 3.5 14
15 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 6
3.95 Shots On Goal 5.8
12.67 Total Shots 15.37
5.55 Corners 4.94
54.4% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Beşiktaş's more proactive style and Samsunspor's more cautious structure. Samsunspor appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Beşiktaş. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Beşiktaş. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Beşiktaş carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 55 points while Samsunspor sit 7 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Samsunspor Analysis

Samsunspor sit 7 with 39 points after 29 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, while the 32:37 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Holse (7 goals), Marius (6 goals), Anthony Musaba (5 goals), with creative support from Anthony Musaba (4 assists), E. Kilinc (4 assists), L. Tomasson (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Assoumou, B. Cetin, L. Satka unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Beşiktaş Analysis

Beşiktaş come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 55 points after 29 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 53:34 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Orkun Kökçü (7 goals), T. Abraham (7 goals), Hyun-gyu Oh (6 goals), with creative support from V. Cerny (8 assists), Orkun Kökçü (7 assists), E. B. Toure (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with E. Topcu unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 2 times, Beşiktaş won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Samsunspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Beşiktaş 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Samsunspor 5, Beşiktaş 3
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 2, draws 4, Beşiktaş wins 2
Stats
Samsunspor Samsunspor
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
1 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 4
5 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
465 Total passes 480
390 Passes accurate 412
1.09 expected_goals 1.44
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Samsunspor
Formation
Beşiktaş
O. Kocuk
O. Kocuk
Z. Yavru
Z. Yavru
L. Satka
L. Satka
R. Van Drongelen
R. Van Drongelen
L. Tomasson
L. Tomasson
A. Makoumbou
A. Makoumbou
O. Ntcham
🎯
O. Ntcham
T. Coulibaly
T. Coulibaly
C. Holse
C. Holse
E. Kilinc
🎯
E. Kilinc
Marius
Marius
E. Destanoglu
E. Destanoglu
M. Murillo
M. Murillo
E. Agbadou
E. Agbadou
F. Uduokhai
F. Uduokhai
R. Yilmaz
R. Yilmaz
K. Asllani
K. Asllani
C. Under
C. Under
J. Olaitan
J. Olaitan
O. Kokcu
O. Kokcu
E. B. Toure
E. B. Toure
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Samsunspor 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
O. Kocuk
G
18
Z. Yavru
↓ 72'
D
37
L. Satka
🟨 38'
D
4
R. Van Drongelen
🟨 88'
D
17
L. Tomasson
D
29
A. Makoumbou
↓ 89' 🟨 41'
M
10
O. Ntcham
🎯 50' ↓ 82'
M
70
T. Coulibaly
⚽ 56' ↓ 82'
M
21
C. Holse
⚽ 50'
M
11
E. Kilinc
🎯 56' 🟨 70'
M
9
Marius
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
33
E. Ustun
G
28
S. Gonul
D
7
E. Tavsan
F
20
Y. Kayan
↑ 82' 🟨 90+3'
M
77
A. Sousa
↑ 82'
M
19
C. Ndiaye
↑ 72'
F
2
J. Mendes
↑ 72'
D
55
Y. E. Cift
↑ 89'
D
23
E. Albak
15
A. B. Diabbate
D
Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
E. Destanoglu
🟨 88'
G
62
M. Murillo
🟨 65'
D
12
E. Agbadou
D
14
F. Uduokhai
D
33
R. Yilmaz
D
23
K. Asllani
⚽ 90'
M
11
C. Under
↓ 65'
M
15
J. Olaitan
M
10
O. Kokcu
↓ 77'
M
19
E. B. Toure
↓ 65'
M
9
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
32
D. S. Vasquez Llach
G
18
V. Cerny
↑ 65'
F
7
M. Rashica
↑ 77'
M
25
G. Sazdagi
M
26
Jota Silva
↑ 65'
F
22
T. Bulut
D
58
Y. Ozcan
8
S. Ucan
M
35
T. Djalo
D
91
M. Hekimoglu
↑ 88'
F
Last matches: Samsunspor
16.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Göztepe
3
0
W
09.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
0
3
L
02.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
4
1
W
27.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
3
2
W
13.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
2
1
W
09.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Rizespor
1
4
L
05.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
2
2
D
19.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
15.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
08.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
01.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
4
0
W
22.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
0
D
19.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
1
0
W
13.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
1
3
L
07.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
0
3
L
30.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
1
0
W
24.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
18.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
1
D
Last matches: Beşiktaş
15.05.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Rizespor
2
2
D
09.05.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
1
2
L
01.05.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Gaziantep FK
2
0
W
27.04.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
0
0
D
10.04.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
4
2
W
05.04.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
0
1
L
19.03.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa
2
1
W
15.03.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
0
W
07.03.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
0
1
L
28.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
22.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Göztepe
4
0
W
15.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
3
2
W
08.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Alanyaspor
2
2
D
31.01.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Konyaspor
2
1
W
26.01.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Eyüpspor
2
2
D
19.01.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kayserispor
1
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Beşiktaş
FCSB
2
1
W
20.12.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Rizespor
1
0
W
14.12.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
3
3
D
08.12.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Gaziantep FK
2
2
D
H2H: Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş
19.04.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
23.11.25
H2H
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
1
1
D
18.01.25
H2H
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
0
0
D
11.08.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
13.04.24
H2H
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
2
L
01.04.12
H2H
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
0
1
W
18.12.11
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
1
D
Last matches: Samsunspor
16.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Göztepe
3
0
W
02.05.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
4
1
W
05.04.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
2
2
D
15.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
1
3
L
01.03.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Samsunspor
Shkendija
4
0
W
07.02.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
0
3
L
24.01.26
Süp
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
14.12.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
01.12.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
09.11.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Samsunspor
Hamrun Spartans
3
0
W
27.10.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Rizespor
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Samsunspor
Dynamo Kyiv
3
0
W
05.10.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
0
0
D
21.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
3
2
W
17.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
13.09.25
Süp
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
1
2
L
H2H at home: Samsunspor
19.04.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
0
2
L
26.11.23
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
2
L
18.12.11
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
1
D
Last matches: Beşiktaş
15.05.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Rizespor
2
2
D
01.05.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Gaziantep FK
2
0
W
05.04.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
0
1
L
15.03.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
0
W
28.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
15.02.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
3
2
W
26.01.26
Süp
Beşiktaş
Eyüpspor
2
2
D
14.12.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
3
3
D
30.11.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
W
08.11.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
3
1
W
26.10.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
22.10.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Konyaspor
2
0
W
04.10.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
1
1
D
24.09.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Kayserispor
4
0
W
19.09.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Göztepe
0
3
L
31.08.25
Süp
Beşiktaş
Alanyaspor
0
2
L
21.08.25
UEF
Beşiktaş
Lausanne
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
4
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Beşiktaş
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
H2H away: Beşiktaş
19.04.26
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
0
2
W
26.11.23
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
2
W
18.12.11
H2H
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L

Missing Players

Samsunspor 5 missing
-
J. Assoumou
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Cetin
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Satka
Missing Fixture Broken Hand
OUT
-
C. Yuksel
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
C. Holse
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Beşiktaş 3 missing
-
E. Topcu
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
W. Ndidi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
K. Kayra Yilmaz
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT