FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Salon urheilupuisto
SalPa
Match Timeline
FC jazz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
J. Pulla
FC jazz
🟨
43'
G. Voca
SalPa
🟨
43'
J. Lakkamaki
FC jazz
🟨
45+2'
J. Petrishin
FC jazz
🔄
46'
M. Lulli ↔ J. Kostian
SalPa
67'
E. Mattila
FC jazz
🔄
71'
E. Rrustemi ↔ E. Rrustemi
SalPa
🔄
71'
S. Poysa ↔ N. Jokiniemi
SalPa
🔄
71'
Y. Miyazaki ↔ S. Kadowaki
SalPa
🔄
75'
J. Petrishin ↔ E. Vare
FC jazz
🔄
90+2'
J. Pulla ↔ A. Luhtanen
FC jazz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SalPa Win 50.9%
Draw 13.3%
FC jazz Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
SalPa1.71
FC jazz1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
SalPa SalPa
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
FC jazz FC jazz
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
12
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SalPa SalPa 19 matches
FC jazz FC jazz 20 matches
SalPa Statistic FC jazz
8 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 8
34 Goals For 28
31 Goals Against 32
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features SalPa's more proactive style and FC jazz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC jazz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC jazz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SalPa Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 18 games, SalPa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FC jazz Analysis

FC jazz are currently 8 in the standings with 25 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SalPa won 6 times, FC jazz won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from SalPa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: SalPa wins 6, draws 5, FC jazz wins 4

Lineups

SalPa
Formation
FC jazz
T. Dementjeff
T. Dementjeff
K. Yao
K. Yao
J. Ndakala
J. Ndakala
E. Rrustemi
E. Rrustemi
M. Lulli
M. Lulli
G. Voca
G. Voca
S. Poysa
S. Poysa
O. Jakonen
O. Jakonen
Y. Miyazaki
Y. Miyazaki
S. Seidu
S. Seidu
A. Munukka
A. Munukka
T. Kangasaho
T. Kangasaho
J. Nuorela
J. Nuorela
J. Lakkamaki
J. Lakkamaki
E. Kaipiainen
E. Kaipiainen
E. Mattila
E. Mattila
J. Marttila
J. Marttila
J. Petrishin
J. Petrishin
L. Nuorela
L. Nuorela
E. Tuominen
E. Tuominen
J. Pulla
J. Pulla
P. Raitanen
P. Raitanen
SalPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
4
T. Dementjeff
5
K. Yao
6
J. Ndakala
7
E. Rrustemi
↓ 71'
9
M. Lulli
↓ 46'
10
G. Voca
🟨 43'
18
S. Poysa
↓ 71'
20
O. Jakonen
24
Y. Miyazaki
↓ 71'
28
S. Seidu
30
A. Munukka
Substitutes
11
E. Rrustemi
↑ 71'
12
O. Rintamaki
13
J. Kostian
↑ 46'
14
A. Ranta
17
L. Pan
19
N. Jokiniemi
↑ 71'
22
S. Kadowaki
↑ 71'
23
R. Ruponen
FC jazz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Kangasaho
3
J. Nuorela
5
J. Lakkamaki
🟨 43'
8
E. Kaipiainen
11
E. Mattila
⚽ 67'
14
J. Marttila
16
J. Petrishin
↓ 75' 🟨 45+2'
17
L. Nuorela
20
E. Tuominen
22
J. Pulla
⚽ 38' ↓ 90+2'
29
P. Raitanen
Substitutes
4
A. Luhtanen
↑ 90+2'
6
N. Aydin
7
C. Harjanne
9
E. Lamberg
12
E. Vare
↑ 75'
26
A. Takala
Last matches: SalPa
22.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
Last matches: FC jazz
23.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
2
D
30.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
24.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
4
0
W
18.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
02.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
4
L
H2H: SalPa vs FC jazz
15.08.26
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
28.05.26
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
3
L
25.01.25
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
1
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
0
1
W
22.06.22
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
1
D
29.05.21
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
0
0
D
12.07.20
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
2
2
D
05.10.19
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
2
D
14.07.19
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
2
2
D
01.09.18
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
2
3
W
20.06.18
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
0
W
01.09.17
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
0
W
17.06.17
H2H
FC jazz
SalPa
3
2
L
Last matches: SalPa
22.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H at home: SalPa
15.08.26
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
3
L
22.06.22
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
2
D
20.06.18
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
0
W
01.09.17
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
0
W
Last matches: FC jazz
23.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
FC jazz
Tampere United
1
4
L
H2H away: FC jazz
15.08.26
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
3
W
22.06.22
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
L
14.08.21
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
2
D
20.06.18
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
1
0
L
01.09.17
H2H
SalPa
FC jazz
2
0
L

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3
SalPa Home
21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W